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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inStatistics

Increasing Replication Of Un-Reproducibility In Science

Best science picture of the year, courtesy of the Wall Street Journal (and thanks to reader Dan Hughes): In just the last decade---ten mere years---the number of "peer-reviewed" journal articles…
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Posted inCulture

Make Colleges Co-Signers Of Student Loans?

As often has been said, if everybody is a genius, then nobody is. The wisdom in this apothegm is little changed by the modification: if everybody has a certification of…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Science Explains Belief In God Through Genetics

Let's look at "Life's Extremes: Atheists vs. Believers", a piece on Live Science (the home of unexpurgated university press releases; hat tip to HotAir). The article is itself slight---it begins…
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Posted inStatistics

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…
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Posted inStatistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…
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  1. NLR on On The Myths Of ScientismSeptember 15, 2025

    That was a good article by Grothendieck. I'm glad he mentioned so-called progress as one of the problems of scientism.…

  2. Uncle Mike on On The Myths Of ScientismSeptember 15, 2025

    I think I may be channeling Grothendeick but without the genius part. Or turning into him like Kafka's caterpillar. What…

  3. John Pate on On The Myths Of ScientismSeptember 15, 2025

    I'm considering that adopting flat Earth as my model is the way forward, as an antidote to all this nonsense…

  4. McChuck on The Various Solutions To Black Crime AnalyzedSeptember 13, 2025

    @John - If you don't know already, you haven't been paying attention for, oh, your entire life. But you probably…

  5. John Pate on The Various Solutions To Black Crime AnalyzedSeptember 13, 2025

    I need a bit more of an explanation about "woke whites" - what exactly they are and what motivates them.…

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