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William M. Briggs

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inStatistics

Decline Of Participation In Religious Rituals With Improved Sanitation

Answer me this. Earl at the end of the bar, on his sixth or seventh, tells listeners just what's wrong with America's science policy. His words receive knowing nods from…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability

Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Explanation Vs Prediction

Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Has No Passive Potentiality

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We started…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Gibbon (And O’Brian) On Too Many Lawyers

This is Gibbon, quoted in Patrick O'Brian's The Reverse of the Medal by the character Dr Stephen Maturin, who then speaks: '"It is dangerous to entrust the conduct of nations…
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Posted inStatistics

Missing Global Warming Close To A Solution?

I can't tell you where I obtained a photocopy of the note below. I can tell you that I am in Washington DC (at the lovely and recommended Morrison Clark…
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Posted inStatistics

There Is No Difference Between A Forecast, A Scenario, or A Projection

This is a tad incoherent, but the gist is here. I had the opportunity of submitting an abstract to the AGU fall meeting, and had only a couple of hours…
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Posted inStatistics

What I Have Learned From Global Warming: Contest Winner Essays 2. Plus Secret Bonus!

Another essay from the winners of the Rename Global Warming Contest is here! Plus, a special bonus, a treat for all readers! See below! Don't miss it! John Buckner, "Climactic…
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  1. Francois Stallbom on Book Update: Launch DateNovember 7, 2026

    Cant wait! Just finished reading book one for the second time with great enjoyment.

  2. Briggs on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 7, 2026

    Gareth, Switch to the Brave browser. You will thank me. No ads. Been using it for years.

  3. gareth on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 7, 2026

    Read the post. Interesting. Tried to watch the YT video linked. Riddled with adds. Not interested.

  4. hudbwu on Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism ManifestoNovember 5, 2026

    I dunno man, Jesus has been promising me eternal life. He even said I'll have it whether I want to…

  5. Neil Jordan on Class 100: Watch The Skies! But Only During Nuclear Tests?November 5, 2026

    Let me throw some fat on the fire - radioactive fallout particles on photographic materials. There are many references on…

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