Briggs

Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability

Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…

Philosophy Statistics

Explanation Vs Prediction

Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Has No Passive Potentiality

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We started…

Culture Philosophy

Gibbon (And O’Brian) On Too Many Lawyers

This is Gibbon, quoted in Patrick O'Brian's The Reverse of the Medal by the character Dr Stephen Maturin, who then speaks: '"It is dangerous to entrust the conduct of nations…

Statistics

Missing Global Warming Close To A Solution?

I can't tell you where I obtained a photocopy of the note below. I can tell you that I am in Washington DC (at the lovely and recommended Morrison Clark…

Statistics

There Is No Difference Between A Forecast, A Scenario, or A Projection

This is a tad incoherent, but the gist is here. I had the opportunity of submitting an abstract to the AGU fall meeting, and had only a couple of hours…

Statistics

What I Have Learned From Global Warming: Contest Winner Essays 2. Plus Secret Bonus!

Another essay from the winners of the Rename Global Warming Contest is here! Plus, a special bonus, a treat for all readers! See below! Don't miss it! John Buckner, "Climactic…

Statistics

Judgments About Fact And Fiction By Confused Researchers

Good news first. The peer-reviewed "Judgments About Fact and Fiction by Children From Religious and Nonreligious Backgrounds" by Kathleen Corriveau, Eva Chen, and Paul Harris in Cognitive Science is so…

Cary Cotterman on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 4, 2026
The older I get and the more I read and think, the less I seem to know. I used to…
-Alan Hopewell on Worst Science Fiction of All TimeNovember 4, 2026
I was not able to finish this literary cinderblock, even after three attempts. Having said that, I still believe that…
Holiday Math Puzzles and Activities for Christmas, Winter Break – Denise Gaskins' Let's Play Math on The Mathematics Of Santa Claus’ Present Delivery SystemNovember 4, 2026
[…] Every year, physics-literalists have fun analyzing Santa’s magical journey: The science behind Santa Claus A Scientific Disproof of the…
Brian (bulaoren) on After The Elections, The BookNovember 4, 2026
When will you auction the movie rights?
C-Marie on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 3, 2026
Interesting!! But the work Jesus gave us to do, is to teach all that He taught, including that He, Jesus,…