Briggs

Another Proof Statistics Cannot Discover Cause

We discussed this before, but since it has come up recently in personal discussions, I wanted to offer this clarification. Suppose we're in a standard epidemiological situation, or even a…

Statistics

Another Proof Against P-Value Reasoning

This isn't so much an extra proof, but a clarification on one of the proofs used in "Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof" (the first two arguments). Calculation of…

Philosophy

Don’t Panic, But Intelligent Design Is Trivially True (Breathe, Breathe…)

This post, a follow-up to yesterday's, originally ran 4 August 2016. What I mean by intelligent design (which is perhaps not what you mean by it) is that All There…

Philosophy Statistics

Science Without God Is Incomplete

Either God exists or He does not. If He does not, then science does not matter. Nothing does. Anything anybody does is mere prejudice, whim. There is no good, there…

Statistics

Pick A Random Number From 1-10

For even more edification, read this article in German: Denken Sie an eine Zahl zwischen 1 und 10. I'm picking a number between 1-10. What is the probability of you…

Culture

This Week In Doom — It-Must-Be-Progressed Edition

Item Scientific communism "I Survived Communism -- Are You Ready For Your Turn?" By Zuzana Janosova Den Boer "It was scientifically proven that communism is the only social-economic system providing…

Fun

The Atlantic Wants Help In Creating A New Holiday. Let’s Help!

The Atlantic, the magazine that thinks well of itself, wants to create a new holiday, the old ones having grown stale. With that in mind: We're in search of a…

Culture

Liar’s Logic — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I enjoy listening to creative liars. Good lying takes work, you know. Hard work. You have to remember so many things you've said. And you've got to weave everything just…

N.S. Palmer on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 17, 2026
"Some moral beliefs are universally true because they are based on human nature. However, these beliefs are essentially factual beliefs:…
PonderPoints on A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin ReviewedJuly 17, 2026
You argue that Faggin is right to reject mechanistic emergence but wrong to award consciousness to every field or “seity,”…
John Pate on University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEingJuly 15, 2026
I don't believe China to be hampered by such nonsense or, for that matter, much of S.E.A. in general.
Rudolph Harrier on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 15, 2026
I don't find LLMs to be particular bad at D&D in comparison to other things. For example, I queried an…
JohnK on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 15, 2026
Does one detect the sea-captain's lurking circularity in this "we" who "need air, gravity, food..." etc.? And don't "we" also…