Suppose you're an Expert, or even an ordinary person, and you say, "If the world is like X, then Y will happen". Or you say or imply, "If the world…

Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Jaynes's book (first part): Video https://videopress.com/v/sWKPQTAU?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube Twitter…

I was right about how Donald would win, and win bigly (blog/Substack). But even more so, that Kammalla would lose, and lose badly. In other words, there would be no…

This idea from Thanatos Savehn at Twitter. He said: I’ve noted many Science articles claiming that empathy is surely the cure for our ills, so I looked into it. I…

The question is not mine. It belongs to Philip Stark, who asked it of Deborah Mayo at a Berkeley lecture. Stark plainly asked five good questions: When and how did…

If you're short of time, and know about the past---which as of last week is now historical---failures of higher education, skip When It Was It Bad and jump right to…

Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Jaynes's book (first part): Video https://videopress.com/v/TOXMcJ2k?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube Twitter…

The gender wars have been with us since we invented the term 'orientation', which separated man from his biology, and replaced it with Fantasy. This column, which ran originally on…