Stick with me today, my friends. There is an important lesson buried in the madness, with a wider application than is at first apparent. A reader asked me to look at the paper below, and I thought some others might be interested.
The M&Ms made in Hackettstown, NJ are white, red, orange, yellow, blue, green, pink, purple, and brown. A typical bag has about 56 M&Ms. Some autist counted, if you can believe it, and discovered about 14% of a pack are yellow. That makes about 8 yellows per bag.
Let’s suppose we get a large number of these bags and pat and lay them flat, with the main writing right side up. Then we carefully cut each bag down the middle, moving individual candies one way or the other as the knife gently pushes them. Each side will thus have roughly 28 candies, and also about 4 yellows. Whatever the number, we count the total yellows and the yellows per side and note whether the left side has more yellows than the right.
With me so far? We won’t see what side has more yellows until we cut the bag open. That’s crucial.
That’s only the end of the experiment.
Here’s the beginning: before we ship the bags from factory, from wherever you are, concentrate and move the yellow M&Ms so that they all gather on the left side of the bag. You will use your powers of micro-telekinesis to do this. Telekinesis is the ability to move objects using only your mind. Small objects, too, given the “micro”. So it won’t take much effort.
There will be all kind of chaotic forces acting on the candies in the manufacturing process, most of them small and subtle. You will thus not need to exert much force to push the yellows left.
We’ll have a gross of bags sent to volunteers, and have the bags cut open and counted by impartial judges. I’ll do the statistics. There’s some fancy bits having to do with ties and odd numbers that I won’t bore you with, but rest assured that only the best test, with the weest P-values, will be used.
Now all this might sound asinine to you. How in the world am you supposed to “reach out” hundreds, even thousands, of miles away, and push around some yellow blobs you can’t see?
But see if this simple substitution makes the silly sound suddenly sane: instead of yellow M&MS, make it the output of a random number generator. No—a quantum random number generator! Concentrate and move the quantum particles and manipulate the quantum forces so that more 0s than 1s appear. It’s quantum! Spooky! Eerie!
In other words, you become the hidden variable in the no-hidden-variables system. (If you know, you know.)
This swap is not your uncle sergeant Briggs’s bright idea: it’s from the authors of the peer-reviewed paper “Enhanced mind-matter interactions following rTMS induced frontal lobe inhibition” by Morris Freedman and others in Cortex.
They zapped people’s brains with magnetics, because why not, “to induce reversible brain lesions in the left medial middle frontal region in healthy participants.”
Reversible.
The newly enlesioned volunteers were then invited to use their broke-brained micro-telekinesis “to influence the numerical output of a portable Random Event Generator (REG) that produced 0s and 1s with equal probability”. Only not with equal probability: not when the mind looked into the electronic quantum beastie and began pushing it around. They say.
The 0s and 1s were coded to slide an arrow on a computer screen left or right. People were instructed to “push” the arrow with their mind, in exactly the same way you can will push M&Ms.
The “Random Event Generator” was acquired from Psyleron, Inc. I naturally looked them up. They sell the REG-1, which they insist “is a quantum mechanical device, and thus is not affected by normal external physical forces. Its output is fundamentally random and impossible to predict.”
I don’t know how much they cost, because they’re out of stock, but I do know the better versions come in a handy aluminum case. (My guess is they use a diode near its breakdown voltage.)
I also know that not one person in a thousand can look at a circuit board and tell what its components are or what their function is. That being so, how can a person ignorant of what part of the electronics is responsible for putting out the 0s and 1s “push” it with their minds correctly? Pushing on the power supply, for instance, would do zipadeedoodah to the 0s and 1s, though it might sink the voltage. How do people know not to push too much? Or how much is enough? Yet Psyleron says their devices can be pushed even when unseen, even when located miles away. Like the M&Ms.
But it’s all quantum! And therefore any curious results can be put down to mysterious forces.
Or bad statistics. Here at last is the point. After a lot of statistical manipulation, they found a wee P-value. Sort of: “This significant effect was found only after we applied a post hoc weighting procedure aligned with our overarching hypothesis.”
Ah.
Don’t take these criticisms as applying only to psychic experimentation! They apply everywhere statistics are used to “prove” cause. You must watch/read this lecture for why this is all unbelievable.
Our authors spent a lot time on the theory behind how broke brains can enhance or block psychic powers, which is part of a causal explanation, and so in their favor. But they never bothered to explain how brains, given temporary lesions or lesion-free, can do what no other power on earth has so far been found to do. They brush all this aside, never even speaking of it, and say weird statistical manipulations are sufficient to prove these causes must exist.
That happens, I repeat, everywhere. We saw it yesterday with the claim a tiny bit o’ butter causes cancer. How? Never mind! Look at our statistical manipulations and wee P-value instead!
Statistics are not going to find cause. Finding, and demonstrating causal mechanisms, is going to find cause. As I always say, that part is brutal hard work.
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The James Randi prize is still available.
“Reversible” brain lesions? For a quantum telekinesis experiment? The IRB for these researchers are clearly on the take.
The authors are, wait for it, Canadians. Surprised? The whole brain lesions thing… very Canadian. Magic telekinesis, bad math, frontal lobotomies, all Canadian. This is why we need tariffs. In fact, we need to shut the border down. Stay up there, Canadians. Don’t come down here.
hey Mike.. I’m Canadian – we’re not all nuts – just one ones that aren’t me.
hey Doc: if people had free will couldn’t we generate strings of random numbers simply by writing down whatever numbers we want?
and peeing all over this ever so sciency study 🙂 – that’s taxpayer monies at work. Speaking of which, can we borrow Elon when he gets done over there?
This kind of content is exactly what brings me back to this site. It exposes me to things I truly would never find on my own. Thank you, Dr. Briggs!
Wow
I was just part of a “zoom” information event sponsored by our hospital on a procedure for Essential Tremors. They use a MRI machine to first ‘find’ and then ‘lesion’ the part of the brain that may help reduce or eliminate Essential Tremors.
My brother had the DBS treatment about a dozen years ago. They do that a side at a time and the first side went brilliant. With my brother still awake, they probed the suspected areas until my brother could give feedback on what helped. Then he had a pacemaker like device that stimulates the area found.
The second procedure for the other side a few weeks later gave him a scare. He lost consciousness during the procedure (I guess it was a close call), they managed to revive him, find the appropriate location and hooked it up. I guess it all works (he did need a procedure to replace the battery,), but if the crisis had happened on the first side, he would not have gone on.
I’m not eligible until I’ve tried pharmaceutical options first.
I got excited while reading the first paragraphs, thinking I was going to volunteer and receive a free bag of M&Ms.
Cary,
I get them free from the M&M fairy.
https://x.com/FamedCelebrity/status/1899485311731646531
I think I will have to send you money. I do a lot of work in the environmental field and also am familiar with (legally enforceable) standards setting for environmental contaminants. The statistical issues there are far worse than moving M&Ms around with thought laser beams unless the “Scanners” movies were nonfiction. Your article of the exposure fallacy (exposure to a gallon of water will kill you if inhale it so every shower makes you a soapy walking dead man or something) was most edifying. This article was just as good as packaging another difficult to convey concept. If the current administration could grasp the reality of regulating peoples financials (home values, retirement plans, water bills, jobs, etc,) and mental health and well being (you’re all going to die of cancer as well as the babes in your arms) they might address the issue. Using statistics to extrapolate effects of filling a rats veins with your favorite Chemical X of the day to drinking water with parts per million of Chemical X over 30 years seems to be quite irresponsible especially when considering metabolic differences and confounding factors (poster boy -second hand smoke). Making it parts per billion is worse, and now we decide legally enforcing PFAs (the forever chemicals) to the low parts per trillion which seems, well, to be more about wielding power and fear than about anything resembling responsible regulatory behavior. I believe when those federal regulations become effective as codified in the Federal Register over the next few years the impacts may even rival those of the covid policies. Class action lawsuits have already begun against water utilities. Job well done.
Norman,
Me and my pal Jaap are working on some PUFA stuff even now.
Noman, I just watched an hour-long webinar on some of the legal issues with PFAS this afternoon. this is somewhat off topic except they did actually talk about the lack of scientific evidence supporting the regulations and the ridiculously low EPA drinking water MCL’s (maximum contaminant levels) of 4.0 ppt (parts per trillion) established as safe concentrations for a couple PFAS compounds. It’s almost homeopathic.