Introduction
Some time ago I wrote about The science of fake news. I must confess, I find this misinformation discourse thoroughly boring. Why? Because it reveals the most plebeian of human characteristics: power, money, fame.
The misinformation discourse noxiously smells of a power-grab made by the academic expertocracy increasingly lacking in authority of their own making.
As a matter of fact, we don’t need this whole debate as philosophy is filled to the brim with quality treaties on truth, falsity and, of course, thanks to Harry Frankfurt, bullshit.
The misinformation debate is full of the latter.
Nevertheless, the Journal Nature added to the pile with a ‘new’ piece: Misinformation remains a threat to democracy. Fortunately, the authors of this Nature-comment show their hand relatively quickly:
The promotion of opinions that go against expert consensus is often done by individuals who present themselves as heroic rebels. But in many instances in which an expert consensus is questioned, there is evidence that the opposing arguments are untenable or deny fundamental knowledge and are driven by political or ideological motivations.
This is a massive howler. I will respond to this and other ‘gems’ on three levels: philosophical, rhetorical, and political, in this order. Let’s get started.
From the philosophical …
What is it with this misinformation debate? It seems so ‘academic’, yet it is so very very simple. But first, let’s do some defining. This what the American Psychological Association (APA) has to say:
“Misinformation is false or inaccurate information—getting the facts wrong. Disinformation is false information which is deliberately intended to mislead—intentionally misstating the facts.”
Okay, this is straightforward enough. However, in definitions like this, facts are implied as unassailable truths that seemingly reveal all there is to know about the world. Let me explain (with added emphasis):
“… With the rise of populist political movements, along with a general attitude of suspicion towards ‘experts’ in some communities, misinformation researchers — like climate scientists and public-health authorities before them — have at times been portrayed as unelected arbiters of truth and subjected to harsh criticism.
Some critics, even in the scholarly community, have claimed that concerns related to the spread of misinformation reflect a type of ‘moral panic’. They think that the threat has been overblown; that classifying information as false is generally problematic because the truth is difficult to determine; and that countermeasures might violate democratic principles because people have a right to believe and express what they want. This trend must be reversed, because it is based on selective reading of the available evidence.
We encourage researchers all over the world to redouble their efforts to combat misinformation, and we offer evidence to show that the deployment of countermeasures is valid and warranted. The Holocaust did happen. COVID-19 vaccines have saved millions of lives. There was no widespread fraud in the 2020 US presidential election. The evidence for each of these facts has been established beyond reasonable doubt, but false beliefs on each of these topics remain widespread. …”
This somewhat long quote is a veritable scientific and philosophical monstrosity. Centrally, empirical scientific research – on the efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines, climate science, election fraud – only delivers contingent and never necessary truths.
Scientific statements, thus, are conditionally true on the facts and the evidence we actually have at our disposal (mathematics in science is an exception, of course)! Empirical research never dishes out irrefutable, necessary, truths that reveal all!
That is known as the false ideology of scientism.
And guess what? Our evidential base always changes with advancing scientific research. Sometimes these advances confirm what we already (think we) know, up to that point; more often these advances shift our previous knowledge base or, more rarely, even require our knowledge base to be replaced all-together.
That is why scientific research is so exciting. The history of chemical research is full of evidential surprises.
The authors however regard empirical research in the fields of their choosing – climatology, vaccinology, politics – delivering necessary truths that can never be questioned, certainly not by the ‘public’.
That is a critical category mistake. Again, empirical scientific work only gives us contingent truths. That is science of philosophy 101, but the authors seemingly didn’t get the memo or refused to reveal it to the public.
… to the rhetorical …
Be that as it may, they insidiously try to sell their glaringly muddled, bad, argument by throwing in the Holocaust example in their contentious mix of topics. I will return to the contentiousness in a minute.
The Holocaust is a past event that has a massive evidential basis in for example innumerable testimonies, photographs, film material, the locations of extermination camps, the material evidence found there, and so on.
Denying the Holocaust as a historical factual event is blindingly stupid and, of course, outright immoral.
Thát sets the tone for the other examples that the authors bring to bear, for example “COVID-19 vaccines have saved millions of lives.” In light of the Holocaust example they mention first, no less, it seems problematical to argue against such a statement.
But that is just rhetorics on the part of the authors and a transparently atrocious one at that.
Again: their statement on the COVID-19 vaccines is not a necessary truth but a contingent one based on the evidence we have. And that evidence is extremely limited. Let me spell this out.
Unreservedly (and too generously) granting the direct efficaciousness of said vaccines, what we do not know yet are the middle- and longterm side effects – morbidity and mortality of the global use of this medical technology.
It might take decades to observe and document those side effects and understand the full extent thereof. This is an unambiguous reference to future knowledge we do not have yet (if, that is, we are willing to gather such knowledge at all).
Therefore, the Holocaust reference is vapid and, worse, morally duplicitous as it refers to solid knowledge already gained of a past event, which, again, emphatically does not apply to the vaccine example.
Disturbingly, there are many examples of severe delayed adverse drug reactions. It took five years for the connection to be made between thalidomide taken by pregnant people and the impact on their children.
In 1958, thalidomide was produced in the UK under brand names such as Distaval, Tensival, Valgraine and Asmaval. An advertisement claimed that:
“Distaval can be given with complete safety to pregnant women and nursing mothers without adverse effect on mother or child.”
Sounds familiar? It should! So, the statement made in the Nature comment that this technology “saved millions of lives” simply cannot be made with any confidence whatsoever. Worse, it suggests that research into the side-effects is unnecessary as we already ‘know’ that “COVID-19 vaccines have saved millions of lives.”
Talk about Machiavellian circularity!
We are still massively lacking in vaccine-data. Worse, these “saved lives” might be offset by serious side effects still ‘in the making’. In all seriousness, let’s hope that that is not the case.
… and the political
All in all, the authors make a laughably bad case for their expertocratic worldview they so forcefully try to pander to their readers. And here’s the kicker: the academic expertocracy is fighting a losing battle.
Losing to whom? To all those who simply do not accept the messaging done by academic experts; and rightly so. Let me reiterate the quote in the introduction:
The promotion of opinions that go against expert consensus is often done by individuals who present themselves as heroic rebels. But in many instances in which an expert consensus is questioned, there is evidence that the opposing arguments are untenable or deny fundamental knowledge and are driven by political or ideological motivations.
A Freudian slip if I ever saw one: it is the expertocracy that is driven by “political or ideological motivations” as there is lots of money to be made from all sorts of vested interest. The competing interest paragraph on the authors is quite revealing and, prophetically, not reprinted on the article’s pdf.
Indeed, their academic veneer is so thin as nearly invisible when they claim that “[t]his trend [“that truth is difficult to determine and that countermeasures might violate democratic principles because people have a right to believe and express what they want”] must be reversed, because it is based on selective reading of the available evidence.”
As such, the authors openly make a bad-faith case for censorship because they are experts and therefore the hoi polloi must listen to and accept the missives only the experts can dispense.
Put differently, the experts want to be sheltered against criticism that might openly disintegrate their favourite and lucrative worldview. In conclusion, they are classical bulverists so ingeniously characterised by C.S. Lewis :
…you must show that a man is wrong before you start explaining why he is wrong. The modern method is to assume without discussion that he is wrong and then distract his attention from this (the only real issue) by busily explaining how he became so silly.
Nuff said about this bullshit!
This post originally ran at Jaap’s blog.
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“It took five years for the connection to be made between thalidomide taken by pregnant people and the impact on their children.”
Not an incorrect statement, but another example of the effects of the steady drip of The Current Thing on public discourse.
Only women can get pregnant. They may have been mistaken about Thalidomide in 1958, but they were apparently more knowledgeable about human physiology.
I wish authors could concoct an article without folding in the walnut shells of GenderSpeak.
The article criticizes “official truths” that may not be questioned for the sensible reason that:
…but then says:
…even though:
Funny stuff, even if the comedy is unintentional. And while I’m in mean editor mode; avoid use of exclamation points(!) and avoid clichés; And guess what? In all seriousness All in all. Otherwise the article makes good points.
“Denying the Holocaust as a historical factual event is blindingly stupid and, of course, outright immoral.”
First, there is absolutely NOTHING immoral about not believing “The Holocaust” Nobody EVER says this about any other historical event, no matter how bad. You can deny Genghis Khan all you want or even the genocide in Rwanda. Crickets. But say the Holocaust was “only” 5,575,289 and you are a “Holocaust Denier”
But second, “THE HOLOCAUST” probably didn’t happen, at least not as “The Narrative” says it did. The barrier to entry to became a “Holocaust Denier” is astoundingly low. If you disagree with even a minor aspect of “The Holocaust” narrative, you are labeled a “Denier” You can agree with all of the major premises of “The Holocaust” and still be labeled a denier. You can agree that the Nazis deliberately set out to liquidate all Jews through murder from the occupied territories and still be called a “Holocaust Denier” If you say any number of Jews were killed other than exactly 6,000,000, boom! You’re a “Holocaust Denier”
Personally, I am not a “denier” whatever that happens to mean. I think the Nazis did what they are accused of doing for the most part, but not in every detail. I have no clue why the US is loaded up with holocaust museums and these cries of “never again” This is a blood libel against one of the peoples who spent enormous blood and treasure defeating the Nazis. There has never been a pogrom in the US. Not one since 1492. There have never been antisemetic laws in the US. This is the thanks we get! Friggin ingrates.
“It took five years for the connection to be made between thalidomide taken by pregnant people and the impact on their children.”
What is a “pregnant person?”
Don’t use their rhetoric. ONLY women become pregnant. There are no pregnant people. Only pregnant women.
“…people have a right to believe and express what they want. This trend must be reversed…”
A frightening statement, but one that present-day leftists seem to embrace.
I have just, been watching an episode of the “Antiques Road Show”. They have experts, in various fields, evaluating family treasures. What strikes me is the ease with which they can determine the sex of a doll; He or She…without even lifting the skirt! Whence such wisdom?
Very interesting article, summarises the issues nicely.
Beware though of clicking on the the link to Jaap’s blog, there’s some malware embedded there. My security software intercepted a Phishing.Agent.B trojan as the blog loaded.
There are not three, but FOUR levels:
Philosophical
Rhetorical
Political
RELIGIOUS – The Expurts and their peers planted their own variable trees in their model garden, which produced fruit, and the information appeared good to their eyes, and they knew that once they ate of it they would become as gods! And who shall stand when they/them appeareth? And whatsoever shalt go out of the mouth of an Expurt shall not return in vain, thus saieth THE SCIENCE ™, the lord of boasts, backed by the US Armee!
Briggs, we gave your guest, this Hanekamp fellow, a hard time. And it’s all your fault, having cultivated in your audience a skeptical eye. It’s almost as if you’re some kind of Protestant, Briggs, with this constant logical questioning. Look what you’ve done with poor Johnno — the poor man’s a raving blatherwort. Not that I’m much better, but that’s your fault, too. It’s all your fault, Briggs. Maybe you should let the Blonde Bombshell take over for a spell.
The things the mockingbird media parrots the most are the biggest lies. What
I always found curious was despite the widespread availability of film cameras
in 1940’s there’s not one film of that singular event. I mean think about it privates
on the front lines had cameras….though Hollywood makes up for it I guess.
There is no evidence supporting the narrative of the Holocaust. The Western Powers found no “death camps” at all. They did find work camps where thousands died of starvation and typhus in the chaos at the end of the war. (3 million Germans died of starvation and typhus in 1945.) The only reports about “death camps” came from the (((Soviets))) after the war, and they would certainly never lie about anything. The Germans must have been the most incompetent people in history to attempt to exterminate the Jews, without making any effort whatsoever to actually exterminate the Jews in Germany.
While we’re at it, shall we discuss the many well-documented tens of millions of Christians murdered by the (((Soviets)))? How about the Holodomor, wherein the (((Soviets))) systematically murdered 9 million Christians? How about the purges and “liquidations” in the (((Soviet))) occupied Baltic states?
Dr. Briggs,
This kid gets it.
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/BaA8gPY8iUg
Bruce,
Can’t say it any better.
I’ve always loved the logic behind counterfactual statements like, “COVID-19 vaccines have saved millions of lives”.
What lives are those?
Was my life saved by the vaccine? Was yours? Were all of our lives saved? How do we know that? Can we say that all 7B of us now living (right now, this instant) were saved by the Poke…even if we didn’t get the Poke?
Was there a certainty that we all would have died without the Poke?
How many people would have died if we hadn’t had a vaccine? Can we assume (and we all know what ‘ass-u-me’ typically does) that some % (totalling millions) of us would have died sometime in 2020/2021, when in fact we didn’t? And can we further assume that it was the vaccine which kept death away?
There’s the old Hudson & Landry story of the man, sitting in the rocking chair, drinking a beer, next to a giant field of radishes. His neighbor comes up and asks him if he’d like to go to town with him. “Nope, I can’t” “Well why not, Clem — you’re not doing anything ‘cept sitting here rocking, drinking a beer!” “The hell I’m not!”, the answer. “I’m keeping the wolverines away!” The neighbor scoffs! “I don’t see no stinking wolverines here!” The man replies: “What’d I tell ya?!”
So the Poke kept those damned wolverines away, I guess.
Because, I guess, millions of us would have succumbed! Maybe. or Maybe not. Maybe herd immunity would have kicked-in? Maybe the virus had already thinned the population of the weak & vulnerable prior to the vaccine? Maybe something else would have happened that didn’t happen? And all that’s before we get to the point Briggs makes about the still-unknown effect of the vaccine?
But somehow it becomes DISINFORMATION to question the assertion that the Poke kept that Wolverine away from millions of us during the Pandemic?
So if we see the death rate line drop post-vaccine…and we see Netflix viewership go up at the same time…can we equally say that Netflix Viewing saved millions of lives?
And what does it mean to save a life anyway? Certainly if you’re drowning and I pull you out of the sea we can quite reasonably conclude that I saved your life. Equally if I pull you back from an onrushing bus. But if I delay your departure (on an errand to get a gallon of milk) and while you’re delayed, a meteor crashes into the parking lot of the store you were planning on going to… can we then say I saved your life from being crushed to death by that meteor? If you wanted to be a lumberjack, and I talked you into becoming a dentist instead….can I claim the title of life-saver because we know the on-the-job death rate of lumberjacks is significantly higher than that of dentists?
Does all it take to become a recognized ‘life saver of millions’ is two lines on a chart…one, speculative, which shows deaths at X-rate…and one lower line which is actual, that shows the real death rate…all that coupled to an assertion that my doing “Y” is what caused that difference between the speculative and the actual?
Is the flipside also true? If I talk you into going on a mountain hike and you’re hit and killed by lightning….does that make me a murderer? Or would that be disinformation also?
I can’t wait until we finally establish the obviously much needed MINISTRY OF TRUTH to tell us what is and is not right.