Rajendra Pachauri—chairman of the IPCC, railway engineer, and the man who penned these words, “Sanjay saw a shapely dark-skinned girl lying on Vinay’s bed. He was overcome by a lust that he had never known before…He removed his clothes and began to feel Sajni’s body, caressing her voluptuous breasts”—is on his heels (flats, presumably).
First was climategate—pow!—then came revelations of the tarting up of the melting Himalayan glaciers—bam!—then it turned out that money changed hands—sock!—then we learned the Amazon’s jungle situation is not desperate as claimed—wham!—then it was revealed Pachauri has a penchant for penning porn—fwap!—then…
One more blow (keep it out of the gutter!) and our esteemed IPCC chair will be out. Actually, the Guardian has reported Pachauri has received a “fresh blow” after “he failed to get the backing of the British government.”
And that is how it usually starts. Resignations, I mean. If Pachauri was, say, an employee of NASA or the UK Met Office, he would already have been booted, forced out and left to spend the remainder of his days writing things like this: “Sandy, I’ve learned something for the first time today. You are absolutely superb after meditation. Why don’t we make love every time immediately after you have meditated?”
But our man works for the UN where, we have speculated, scandal is so endemic that it must be mandatory. Another skeleton, perhaps two, will have to be found before sufficient pressure exists for Pachauri to go. Given the pace of recent revelations, this should not take too long.
And when he goes, there will be a celebration among skeptics, who will have the feeling of something done, something accomplished. Joy will make a brief appearance.
But keep the celebration short. The UN is like the Borg. As one apparatchik-drone falls, another rises immediately to take its place. The replacement will just as relentlessly, though perhaps with a short-lived smile upon his face, tout the “seriousness” of global warming. Resistance is useless. You will be assimilated.
The 2007 IPCC document reported that there was a “90% chance” that humans were causing the observed warming. In the manner of sports fanatics, this “90%” was everywhere changed to “110%”—anything less implied squeamishness and lack of team spirit—but if it turns out that it should have been “30%” or even “10%”, the public presence of global warming will not go away.
Like a glacier flowing down a hill, money moves slowly. Apply the heat and the flow increases, but, as we all know by now, not by that much. The mass of money devoted to global warming is humongous. Even if the supply of fresh coin is cut off, it will take years and years for the current source to deplete itself. And since the amount of money directly and positively correlates with the level of public “awareness”, it will be a long time before memories fade.
Take scientists working in the field. Their grants run anywhere from two to five years. That money won’t be revoked and will be spent. Research will still be conducted, reports and papers will still be written. Continuation grants will be submitted—universities lust for the overhead dollars that are tacked onto these grants and cannot live without them.
Too, plenty of papers are present in the pipeline. Depending on the journal, these can take a year to appear. The next IPCC report will invariably say that “it’s worse than we thought” but for not yet awhile. It will suggest more money be spent.
And how often do you hear of a scientist changing his mind? We all remember the words of Max Planck: “A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.”
The NGOs who currently bask in the warming will not go gentle into that good night. They will not suffer their funding to be cut off. Look for them to increase the frequency of their missives. Negative adjective use in their ads will rise by 42% a year. Tempers will flare, even as the sun does not (who doesn’t love a bad pun?).
Politicians, always the quickest to discern the zeitgeist and sniff out trends, while they might deemphasize “climate change” will shift their rhetoric to “environmental justice.”
In five words, global warming is big business. It is too big to fail.