William M. Briggs

Reader Experiences With Bad Medical & Finance Models

Anons emails about experience with bad modeling. These read very like posts you see here daily. Lightly edited to remove personal information, with links by me. The post about the…

Culture

Lucrative New Medical Specialty Emerging: Purposely Killing Patients

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Many doctors, perhaps tiring of the old ways of medicine with its frustrating disappointments and frequent heartbreaks, are moving into an…

Statistics

How Do You Know If An Experiment Works? Or, Yet Another Argument Against P-values

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Anon asks questions about models (I added the bold question brackets and the link). Pay attention most closely to [Q2], which…

Culture Philosophy

“Listen To The Science!” Is Scientism: “Listen To The Science!” Means “Listen To Me!”

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Our culture is saturated in scientism. Scientism comes in various forms. One is the belief that all knowledge is scientific --…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Everlasting Fire

Previous post. What does the "everlasting fire" mean? HOW INCORPOREAL SUBSTANCES MAY SUFFER FROM BODILY FIRE 1 But a doubt can arise as to the manner in which the devil,…

Class

“More to review from the Biden team” — Open Thread

Special Saturday post. I am delighted to say that I had guessed wrong about Musk. I had thought he'd never fight the Regime in any serious way. Very happy about…

Culture Philosophy

Why The Continuing Appeal Of The Appeal To Non-Authority Fallacy?

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Ladies and gentlemen, allow me to introduce to you proof that "climate change" has completed its transformation from Science into yet…

Statistics

Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. We know all about models by now, do we not, dear readers? A model, also known as a theory, can be…

Johnno on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
I'm panicking about the people who believe enthusiastically in the capabilities of the AI that the other people are panicking…
Rudolph Harrier on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
I've started thinking of this as the "juice loosener problem" (after the Simpsons bit where Dr. Nick hawks an orange…
Cary D Cotterman on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
After spending years in school doing my own writing, then decades in my profession busting my ass to write somewhere…
Uncle Mike on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
AI isn't the entity smoothing the data. The alleged decline in Arctic sea ice was a key assertion in Algore's…
JH on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 10, 2026
The definition of cause can vary, and each incident may have its causes or contributing factors. I see coincidences as…

William M. Briggs

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series