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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inStatistics

Statistics Proves Same Drug Both Causes And Does Not Cause Same Cancer

No, the title of today's post is not a joke, even though it has often been used that way in the past. The title was inspired by yesterday's Wall Street…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Interest In On-Line Statistics Courses?

You might have heard what happened to when Stanford professor Andrew Ng put his machine learning (a practical kind of statistical modeling) on line. He expected mild interest. One hundred…
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Posted inFun Philosophy Statistics

Gloom, Despair, Email Spoofing, And Kahan’s Science Literacy Paper

Somebody spoofed my Yahoo email address which I use for ordering, registrations and the like. Sent hundreds of emails to my contact list yesterday. Now I ordinarily run Linux, which…
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Posted inStatistics

The Difference Between Technical And Plain English Correlation

Since the subject has come up so often, today a note on the words correlated and correlation. They have technical definitions and plain English meanings. The two definitions overlap but…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

University Rankings: Wall Street Journal, ACTA, QS

I, working with Cambria Consulting (see below), was involved heavily creating the WSJ's Top 25 College rankings which are in today's papers. All questions on the methods, I defer to…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Causality: Guest Post by DAV

Today's guest post, on a subject dear to us all, is by long-time reader (and now contributor) DAV. While fencing in many of the Web's blogs it's not uncommon to…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Decadence And The Failure Of The State: A Checklist

Decadence: a falling away; a decay; a deterioration; a failing of heart; a focus of self, on the here and now; the emergence of "What's in it for me?" as…
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Posted inStatistics

Peter Principle Particulars: Pluchino Paper Perused

Introduction One summary of the Peter Principle, named after psychologist Laurence J. Peters, is that "in a hierarchy every employee tends to rise to their level of incompetence." Three Italian…
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  1. Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.

  2. spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…

  3. JH on Class 56: The Best Model!June 29, 2025

    How can you make predictions in the big data era without using a model? Trust your gut.

  4. Jonas P. Kay on Which God Are You Rejecting? David Bentley Hart’s The Experience of God, Part IJune 28, 2025

    I answer all by saying you cannot get something from nothing. There is beauty in its simplicity and it is…

  5. Johnno on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJune 27, 2025

    So what's the betting pool on the odds about when and in which country will be the first to perform…

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