Posted inStatistics
Eat Soy, Save The Planet: Al Gore Update
Eat Soy, Save The Planet. Save the planet from what and for whom we are never told. A climate with a slight increase in global mean temperature can't destroy the…
Posted inClass Statistics
When Does A Small Probability Mean Impossibility?
Question from reader Richard Stevens: A professional scientist, holding an MS in one of the hard sciences, addressed the argument that the probability of creating a protein or an enzyme…
Posted inStatistics
Reader Question: Sinking Feeling Organizational Psychology May Have Fundamental Flaws
From reader Paul comes this important question (I eliminated personal information to keep the reader's anonymity): I'm reading through your book, "Uncertainty" and while I enjoy the philosophical approach to…
Posted inStatistics
What’s The Probability Of A Nuclear War?
For readers in a hurry, here's the answer: There is no probability of a nuclear war. Nor of a conventional one. Nor even of you being victor in your next…
Posted inStatistics
The Big Worldwide Strike
Ignorant, a. Destitute of knowledge; uninstructed or uninformed; untaught; unenlightened. [1913 Webster] Recall a group of ignorant kiddies skipped school a while back in order to shake their wee fists…
Posted inClass Statistics
Control Groups With No Cancers In Hormesis Data Sets
A well known paper by Duport et al. on radiation hormesis makes a statement about control groups which is not quite right. The paper is "Database of Radiogenic Cancer in…
Posted inStatistics
The Conceit of AI
It helps every time you hear "AI" to think "statistical model". Because, of course, that's what AI is. Statistical models layered with clever data processing, that is. Curve fitting. Saying…
Posted inStatistics
Low-Hanging Molecules Have Already Been Picked—Most New Drugs Provide No Benefit
Remember the old stock scam? Call up 1,000 people and tell half Stock A will rise, and tell the other half it will fall. Five hundred people will be slightly…