Mandatory! Read Part I, Part II. I will ignore all comments already answered in Parts I & II. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version […]
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part II New (Free) Software Regression 1
Mandatory! Read Part I. I will ignore all comments already answered in Part I. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. Update If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.2! You must […]
Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus
Background Some blue check journalist named Ferris Jabr, in a raw display of sobriety for a member of the Indigo Cheka, said None of this is to belittle what is happening. The […]
Nature Advocates Using Children To Propagandize Parents
Nature magazine has published the article “Ignorant children should be used to propagandize their more knowledgeable parents.” I might have got the title wrong (click link for actual), but it’s correct in […]
Coronavirus Update XXI: Calm Down! Record Testing Is Why There Are Record “Cases”
OHNOWE’REALLGOINGTODIE—AGAIN! Look at this plot, the number of daily COVID tests in the US, according to the COVID-19 tracking project. So far, since the start of the insanity, there have been 35,512,916 […]
Using P-Values To Diagnose “Trends” Is Invalid
Look at the picture, which is real data, but disguised to obscure its source. It is a physical measurement taken monthly by a recognized authority. The measurements are thought to have little […]
AI Is Kicking Statistics’s Ass
Here’s the headline: “AI can predict when someone will die with unsettling accuracy: This isn’t the first time experts have harnessed AI’s predictive power for healthcare.” Unsettling accuracy? Is accuracy unsettling? Has […]
Example Of Bad Trend Analysis
These examples are from the BAMS article “Continental US Hurricane Landfall Frequency And Associated Damage: Observations and Future Risks” by PhiliP J. Klotzbach, Steven G. Bowen, Roger Pielke JR., and Michael Bell. […]
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