It’s a lazy Saturday, so some musings today on entropy and information and probability. It’s about time we started tying these things together. Things like the following are heard: “Given a list […]
The Gaia Hypothesis Is Either Trivial And Useless Or False And Ridiculous
Hans Schellnhuber is an adviser to the Vatican’s Pontifical Academy of Sciences. In the peer-reviewed Nature paper “Climbing the co-evolution ladder” (431, 913 (21 October 2004)) he and two co-authors wrote: Stanislav […]
On Nate Silver’s Predictions: Which Side Of The Probability Equation Are We On?
When I checked FiveThirtyEight.com’s Senate prediction, it said “Republicans have a 72.3% chance of winning a majority.” There were also words that the “probability that each party will win control of the […]
Discrimination Is Everywhere!
A seventy-year-old man auditions to play the lead in Model Detective, a film about a Victoria’s Secret swimsuit model who solves beach crime, and he is turned down because he is a […]
Crisis: Vatican Burns with Global Warming Enthusiasm (And Temperature Fiddling)
Today’s post is at Crisis. The title the editor John Vella wrote is AUs—parsecs, even—above mine. His: “Vatican Burns with Global Warming Enthusiasm“. Mine? “The Church Burns To Jump Into Global Warming”. […]
More Reasons Not To Use The Precautionary Principle: Update
All probability is conditional and we are always interested in some proposition, call it X. We want to know “the probability of X”. Well, there is none: not ever. There is no […]
Don’t Use Statistics Unless You Have To
We’re finally getting it, as evinced by the responses to the article “Netherlands Temperature Controversy: Or, Yet Again, How Not To Do Time Series.” Let’s return to the Screaming Willies. Quoting myself […]
Answering A Critic On Sampling Variability
Alfred ‘Dominant Strategy’ (ADS) is confused that “William Briggs is confused on sampling variability”. I wrote an article highlighting misconceptions and mistakes people make when thinking about sampling variability, and ADS kindly […]
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