# Search results for ‘model’

## Infinite Surprise And Impossible Events

It’s a lazy Saturday, so some musings today on entropy and information and probability. It’s about time we started tying these things together. Things like the following are heard: “Given a list […]

## The Gaia Hypothesis Is Either Trivial And Useless Or False And Ridiculous

Hans Schellnhuber is an adviser to the Vatican’s Pontifical Academy of Sciences. In the peer-reviewed Nature paper “Climbing the co-evolution ladder” (431, 913 (21 October 2004)) he and two co-authors wrote: Stanislav […]

## On Nate Silver’s Predictions: Which Side Of The Probability Equation Are We On?

When I checked FiveThirtyEight.com’s Senate prediction, it said “Republicans have a 72.3% chance of winning a majority.” There were also words that the “probability that each party will win control of the […]

## Discrimination Is Everywhere!

A seventy-year-old man auditions to play the lead in Model Detective, a film about a Victoria’s Secret swimsuit model who solves beach crime, and he is turned down because he is a […]

## Crisis: Vatican Burns with Global Warming Enthusiasm (And Temperature Fiddling)

Today’s post is at Crisis. The title the editor John Vella wrote is AUs—parsecs, even—above mine. His: “Vatican Burns with Global Warming Enthusiasm“. Mine? “The Church Burns To Jump Into Global Warming”. […]

## More Reasons Not To Use The Precautionary Principle: Update

All probability is conditional and we are always interested in some proposition, call it X. We want to know “the probability of X”. Well, there is none: not ever. There is no […]

## Don’t Use Statistics Unless You Have To

We’re finally getting it, as evinced by the responses to the article “Netherlands Temperature Controversy: Or, Yet Again, How Not To Do Time Series.” Let’s return to the Screaming Willies. Quoting myself […]

## Answering A Critic On Sampling Variability

Alfred ‘Dominant Strategy’ (ADS) is confused that “William Briggs is confused on sampling variability”. I wrote an article highlighting misconceptions and mistakes people make when thinking about sampling variability, and ADS kindly […]