This is a completion of the post I started two weeks ago which shows that “predictive” or “observational” Bayes is better than classical, parametric Bayes, which is far superior to frequentist hypothesis […]
The Great Bayesian Switch
Update: See this post on the definition of confidence and credible intervals. Submitted for your approval, a new paper. A polemic describing in nascent terms the paradise that awaits us once we […]
Curtis’s The Science Of Subjectivity
An unfocused post today; just some notes on a paper. Busy day for me. Andrew Curtis wrote, “The science of subjectivity” in the January 2012 issue of the journal Geology (sent to […]
The Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox Isn’t
Background A paradox is a mistake in thinking; an artificial, human creation which usually arises because a conclusion which follows from a set of beloved premises is itself unloved. Twitter user @alpheccar […]
How To Present Anything As Significant. Update: Nature Weighs In
Update The paper on which this post was based has hit the presses which was used as an occasion for Nature to opine that, just maybe, that some of the softer sciences […]
What’s The Difference Between A Confidence Interval And A Credible Interval? Update
Twitter @ceptional reminded me of this post, which I had forgotten. Since it is highly relevant to The Great Bayesian Switch, I decided to repost. Some minor errors in grammar have been […]
British Judge Rules Against Bayes’s Theorem
A British judge has thrown a use of Bayes’s rule out of his court. Not only that, his honor (Lordship?) ruled “against using similar statistical analysis in the courts in future.” A […]
What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV
In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used probability model: […]
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