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The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd
Posted inStatistics

The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd

The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…
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Statistics (Philosophy) Quiz: See If You Really Know What You’re Doing Using Tests
Posted inStatistics

Statistics (Philosophy) Quiz: See If You Really Know What You’re Doing Using Tests

This is from Gerd Gigerenzer's "Mindless statistics" in The Journal of Socio-Economics, 33, (2004) 587–606. Have a go before looking at the answers (I'm giving my own, not quoting Gigerenzer).…
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Absolute Vs. Relative Risk Reduction; Trump Likes Vaccines;  The Fabulous Fauci; Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam Getting Theirs;  More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIII
Posted inStatistics

Absolute Vs. Relative Risk Reduction; Trump Likes Vaccines; The Fabulous Fauci; Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam Getting Theirs; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIII

WE CONTINUE The consensus---and we never buck consensii; consensuses?---was to keep these updates going for the time being, but expanding their scope. I have therefore cut back on some of…
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Academics Fail To Prove COVID Lockdowns Were Painless and Effective
Posted inStatistics

Academics Fail To Prove COVID Lockdowns Were Painless and Effective

Maybe you have a story like this. A barber I know was shut down by one of the lockdowns various state governments experimented with during the coronadoom panic, in a…
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Defending The Canceled Mask Paper; Gain-Of-Lethality Confirmed?; Time We Quit These Updates? — Coronavirus Update LXXII
Posted inStatistics

Defending The Canceled Mask Paper; Gain-Of-Lethality Confirmed?; Time We Quit These Updates? — Coronavirus Update LXXII

NOTHING MORTAL GOES FOREVER Should we quit these updates? I know I've grown sick of them. Are you? Maybe replace them with articles when warranted, such as what our dear…
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Our Coming Murder & Crime Wave
Posted inCulture Statistics

Our Coming Murder & Crime Wave

In 2020, we saw a large increase in murders. Homicides were up 30% from 2019, an increase which is called "historic". "[G]un assault and aggravated assault rates climbed 8 percent…
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Random Means Unknown Cause — And Nothing More
Posted inStatistics

Random Means Unknown Cause — And Nothing More

I've used this gimmick many times, so regular readers, please, shhh. I'm thinking of a number between 1 and 4. What is it? To you the number is random, because…
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COVID IS NO LONGER A MAJOR DISEASE; Gain-Of-Lethality Experiments; Vexations; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXI & Heading To Infinity!
Posted inStatistics

COVID IS NO LONGER A MAJOR DISEASE; Gain-Of-Lethality Experiments; Vexations; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXI & Heading To Infinity!

GAIN-OF-FUNCTION TESTS You'll have heard of these by now. These studies, funded by such luminaries as the Fabulous "Masks Forever" Fauci, monkey with viruses to make them more lethal, ostensibly…
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  1. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Can't agree with Briggs on this, I agree with Tesla; "Today's scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander…

  2. Briggs on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Willis, I have just about finished a brief answer to you (about 3,000 words), which because of the importance and…

  3. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Eschenbach you're becoming a caricature of modern scientism. I've explained to you why your Aunt Sally is bogus and the…

  4. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 16, 2025

    John, I asked a THEORETICAL question. Pointing out that there are real-world options is MEANINGLESS to my question. How about…

  5. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 16, 2025

    Eschenbach, card counting was arrived at by an empirically derived process. That's not the same as having bogus statistical theories…

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