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What’s Really Going On With China’s Coronadoom Policy In Shanghai?
Posted inStatistics

What’s Really Going On With China’s Coronadoom Policy In Shanghai?

If we had to pick one image to sum up China's coronadoom policy: https://twitter.com/gummibear737/status/1512929396264472578 Shanghai is locked down. People aren't allowed outside their government-designed domiciles. Except for small numbers of…
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Efforts At Officially Defining Scientific Disinformation Continue
Posted inStatistics

Efforts At Officially Defining Scientific Disinformation Continue

Phrases like scientifically valid, the late great philosopher David Stove taught us, signal distress. A writer wants to say valid, a strength word, but somehow can't bring himself to this…
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Emergence Cannot Explain Intelligence — Planetary Or Otherwise
Posted inStatistics

Emergence Cannot Explain Intelligence — Planetary Or Otherwise

Let's have a look at the peer-reviewed paper "Intelligence as a planetary scale process" by Adam Frank, David Grinspsoon and Sara Walker, in the International Journal of Astrobiology. We might…
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Science Says Global Warming To Cause More Heart Attacks At Night, But Only For Crazy Men 60-64.
Posted inStatistics

Science Says Global Warming To Cause More Heart Attacks At Night, But Only For Crazy Men 60-64.

With the waning of the coronadoom panic, and our elites unable to juice sufficient consternation over Russia, they will have to turn to other objects to monger their fear. Global…
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The Difference In Means & Why P-Values Should Not Be Used — Excerpt From The Lake Michigan Dialogues
Posted inStatistics

The Difference In Means & Why P-Values Should Not Be Used — Excerpt From The Lake Michigan Dialogues

"Say, Briggs. Since you're Statistician to the Stars!, explain to me how I can tell if two means are different in a simple way that even I can understand." You…
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How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty
Posted inStatistics

How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty

It's easy to sound more certain than the evidence warrants, especially when using classical parameter-based statistical methods. I'll show you how. I'll give you the procedure first, then work through…
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Curious Notions Of Cause In Science & Statistics
Posted inStatistics

Curious Notions Of Cause In Science & Statistics

You will forgive me if this post is more technical than usual. I try to leave out math, knowing how confusing it can be. But here it is necessary. The…
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Massive Over-Certainties In Medicine: Bad Statistics, Bad Experiments
Posted inStatistics

Massive Over-Certainties In Medicine: Bad Statistics, Bad Experiments

Ready to Follow The Science? Let's listen to the lamentations of its lecturers and lovers. The case against science is straightforward: much of the scientific literature, perhaps half, may simply…
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  1. Stephen W. Shipman on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 4, 2026

    One long, one short (or longer as the spirit moves you from time to time). Guess drop ins are a…

  2. John Pate on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”June 4, 2026

    There are either no space aliens or they're here and running things for their own purposes. Either way there's nothing…

  3. John Pate on No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke CodersJune 4, 2026

    The Pope is still flogging the Climate Change dead horse, which of course relies on models for its supposed veracity.…

  4. Patrick on No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke CodersJune 3, 2026

    This is the sort of nonsense scare mongering that goes in, depressing.. https://www.stuff.co.nz/world-news/360987487/what-your-p-doom-terrifying-metric-used-ai-experts

  5. C-Marie on No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke CodersJune 3, 2026

    Thank you, Matt! Poor, poor Pope Leo XIV and the synodal business .... praying every day for Leo, for full…

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