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Posted inClass Statistics

Example Of How To Eliminate P-values & Their Replacement

Many, many more details are available in Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics and at this page. Last time we learned that the way to do probability models…
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Global Warming: Thirty Years Of Hype, Hysteria & Hullabaloo
Posted inStatistics

Global Warming: Thirty Years Of Hype, Hysteria & Hullabaloo

In the late spring of 1988, Senator Tim Wirth from Colorado (guess his party) called the Weather Bureau and asked what historically was the hottest day of the year in…
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Posted inStatistics

Eliminate The P-Value (and Bayes Factor) Altogether & Replace It With This

Good news and bad news. Good news it that there is a growing number of people who are aware that p-values are sinking science and they want to do something,…
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Real Versus Fake Fake News: Update
Posted inStatistics

Real Versus Fake Fake News: Update

Stream: Real Versus Fake Fake News On the last day of bad old year, Lake Superior State University released its 43rd annual List of Words Banished from the Queen's English…
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In A Democracy, Everything Is Political. Even Science.
Posted inStatistics

In A Democracy, Everything Is Political. Even Science.

Stream: On the Left, Bad Politics Leads to Bad Science (Insanity & Doom updates resume after Christmas.) "All I Want For Christmas Is Full Communism Now". Not I. It is…
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Posted inStatistics

Middle Ground Between Precautionary Principle & Inaction

From reader (and listener!) Phil Pilkington (there asterisks are original): Hi Matt, Loved your speech. Hyperskeptical Economist that I am, M Taleb did us some great favours in outlining the…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Evil Has A Cause
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Evil Has A Cause

Previous post. Two chapters this week on the (non-controversial) claim that evil must have a cause. The nature of this cause is, however, of some interest. That Evil Has A…
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Posted inClass Philosophy Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part I: I Say Probability Does Not Exist

Ye Olde Statistician points us to an essay (a book chapter?) by our old pal Nassim Nicholas Taleb called "The Logic of Risk Taking". Let's examine it. You, dear reader,…
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