Search Results for “probability” – Page 73

Every Family Has Children Until They Have A Boy: Probability Stumper

Reader Bryan Davies quoted a poser from Math Overflow (have we heard of that?) which read: In a country in which people only want boys every family continues to have…

Book review Statistics

The Moral Case For Fossil Fuels Reviewed

People first Just in time for the Federally-Recognized-Holiday-Of-25-December-That-Shall-Go-Unnamed we have a suitable gift for science deniers everywhere. Alex Epstein's The Moral Case For Fossil Fuels Science deniers? Yes, sir. Those…

Culture

Teaching Comes First. But Only If You Bring In Grants. And Publish

Since it's teaching time, via Nick B Steves via Bruce Charlton comes this reminiscence of Oxford in the 1970s. In the 70s it was still possible for a distinguished head…

Philosophy Statistics

Logical Probability Data Analysis, Measurement Error Example

Read the introduction to this first. If you don't, you will be lost, lost, lost. Logical probability answer to B The answer to B follows from A. The picture is…

Statistics

Regression Isn’t What You Think

We've done regression a hundred times, but it isn't sticking. That means my explanations are failing. Let me try again. Everybody knows normal distributions, i.e. bell-shaped curves: in shorthand N(m,s),…

Philosophy Statistics

Most Probabilities Aren’t Quantifiable

We've done this before in different form. But it hasn't stuck; plus we need this for reference. Not all probability is quantifiable. The proof for this is simple: all that…

Statistics

On The Kaya Identity

A reader asked about my take on the Kaya wars that are flaming at Anthony Watts's place. Here is the form of the Kaya Identity, which is to say, the…

Statistics

On Nate Silver’s Republicans-Take-The-Senate Prediction

Yet the first bringer of unwelcome news Hath but a losing office, and his tongue Sounds ever after as a sullen bell, Remember'd tolling a departing friend. ---Henry IV, part…

hudbwu on The Enlightenment Was The Beginning Of The Great Leveling: Stove 2July 18, 2024
Of course, the abolition of slavery was something the (Catholic) Church worked basically since day 1. And I'm pretty sure…
Cary D Cotterman on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 18, 2024
I know people (coincidentally all Democrats) who are constantly "masking up", testing, and getting boosted, who claim they've had covid…
Rudolph Harrier on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 18, 2024
This will last until they need an outbreak for a distraction and some other (minor) disease has naturally spread before…
Hagfish Bagpipe on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 18, 2024
Covid the "Boogerman of Maladies"? -- you jest Briggs but it's no joking matter. I had the sniffles once and…
Pk on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 18, 2024
I also heard on local radio that Covid is surging again. The reporter cited waste water analysis as how the…