Posted inPhilosophy
Stats 101: Chapter 1
UPDATE: If you downloaded the chapter before 6 am on 4 May, please download another copy. An older version contained fonts that were not available on all computers, causing it…
Posted inFun
Hitting or Pitching. Which wins more games?
By Tim Murray and William Briggs You obviously need to score runs to win baseball games, and buying better hitters does this for a team. But you also need to…
Posted inFun
CONTEST: Preliminary Discussion of the “Best Internet Conspiracy Theory”
This is the first posting preliminary to the announcement of an Official Contest to find the Best Internet Conspiracy Theory. The Contest will be officially announced in about one week.…
Posted inStatistics
CO2 and Temperature: which predicts which?
Parts of this analysis were suggested by Allan MacRae, who kindly offered comments on the exposition of this article which greatly improved its readability. The article is incomplete, but I…
Posted inFun
It was bound to happen
Remember how you used to cavalierly ignore those "Keep of the Grass Signs" in your un-enlightened youth? Well, you brutal, uncaring, beast. For it has finally been announced---from Europe, naturally,…
Posted inStatistics
Why multiple climate model agreement is not that exciting
There are several global climate models (GCMs) produced by many different groups. There are a half dozen from the USA, some from the UK Met Office, a well known one…
Posted inStatistics
Spanish Expedition
I have returned from Madrid, where the conference went moderately well. My part was acceptable, but I could have done a better job, which I'll explain in a moment. Iberia…
Posted inFun
Tall men in planes
I am off to Spain today, for the conference, to present my unfinished, and unfinishable, talk. Why unfinishable? I am asking people to supply estimates for certain probabilities (see the…
