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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Latest Articles
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Contest Winner Announced!

Posted by By Briggs April 14, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Posted by By Briggs April 13, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

DANCES WITHOUT FEATHERS: I of III

In celebration of my having work, I present something that requires no thinking (on my part).   Part II Part III PDF DANCES WITHOUT FEATHERS Part I of III Kick...two,…
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Posted inStatistics

At ASA/ISM Joint Statistical Meetings

Link. Watch this space for stories. (Updates to comments on other posts will be slow.) Update: Tuesday night. This story, sent in by Jim D., is a must read. Statistical…
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Posted inCulture

The Sad Decline in Music: Benny Goodman vs. House Music

Part I: Cole Porter vs. The Beatles Part II: Billy Strayhorn vs. Drake I apologize for the slowness in the appearance of this third battle, but I have just been…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Models, theories, consistency, and truth

Ready? Put on your best straight face, recall that global temperatures have not increased for a decade, and that it's actually been getting cooler, then repeat with Brenda Ekwurzel, of…
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Posted inStatistics

Coin, queries, and screening

Work has caught up with me yet again, so here are three interesting stories to wile the time away. The probability of a coin flip Reader Ari Schwartz sent in…
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Posted inBook review

An internet success story: Shakedown by Ezra Levant

Shakedown: How Our Government is Undermining Democracy in the Name of Human Rights by Ezra Levant M&S Recommendation: Buy if you want to slip Levant a Loonie, or go to…
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Taking stock in the track: horse races and brokerages

This column was inspired by an interview I did with sports reporter Mark McGuire at the Albany Times Union. His story, in anticipation of the Saratoga races, can be found…
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Posted inCulture

The sad decline of music: Billy Strayhorn vs. Drake

Inarguably, hip hop (rap) is one of the leading pop music genres; at least, it is one of the loudest. I did not know which hip hop singer to choose…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Contest Winner Announced!April 14, 2026

    Here, on the street where I live, about every tenth house or so flies a flag announcing what the occupant…

  2. Sid Porter on Contest Winner Announced!April 14, 2026

    Always thought this one was first… supercalafragalisticexbislidoucious

  3. Tars Tarkas on Contest Winner Announced!April 14, 2026

    N is already taken and has been for centuries. But it would be hilarious if they added it to LGBT.

  4. spudjr60 on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 14, 2026

    Two of Mx. Watt's sources are DEMONIC and ultra-woke One is Howard Zinn, the other is "Counterfire"; according to it's…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Contest Winner Announced!April 14, 2026

    Now you've got me wondering about that, now defunct, live music club in New York; CBGB...And why exactly, was that…

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