William M. Briggs

All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False

Here's a typical recent propaganda headline: "Climate change made Libya flooding 50 times more likely: Report." This is not so. Here's another recent one from PBS: "Climate change made global…

Culture Philosophy

The Closer To REALITY, The Closer To Reality

There are any number of proofs of this proposition: The closer to Reality, the closer to reality. Here's one, recalling first that there is always a +/- to all surveys,…

Podcast Statistics

Weeping & Gnashing Of Teeth From Our Paper Saying “Climate Change” Not A Big Deal

That peer-reviewed, and therefore indisputable, paper we wrote showing, as many have showed, that "climate change" is overblown has been getting a lot of publicity. Before we come to that,…

Fun

Coin Flip Video Restored!

What a clusterfarg. Here is the video, in all it's glory. Link. https://youtu.be/8XX0iRAN--8 Sorry for the duplicate email/post.

Culture

Curse Of The Enlightenment: All Of Its Axioms Are False, Yet We Believe Them All

Why are things so bad? And why will they continue to grow worse? The Enlightenment. Also known---or, rather, as it should be known---as The Great Corruption. Things are bad because…

Statistics

The Probability Of A Head In A Coin Flip Is 1, Not 1/2

My dad and I built a coin flipping machine. Then made this video (you might have to click the link): LINK FIXED. Link, because the embedding is not working. https://youtu.be/8XX0iRAN--8…

Philosophy

Experts want to take uteruses out of women and put them into men

To read today's article, it is helpful to recall that in the context of biology and medicine the prefix trans can always be translated by not a or just not.…

Fun

Apple Threatens World Destruction! “It is our aim to permanently remove carbon from the atmosphere”

I was asked to look at this video promoted by the slob---no, really: he's a slob; not that it's his worst sin---who runs Apple. Unfortunately, some of you will have…

Cary D Cotterman on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026
There's always something busting on a house or a car, and mean weather doesn't help. The joy of home and…
shawn marshall on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026
c'mon global warming!
Chad W Jessup on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026
Wish some of that snow would come west, as it looks like La Niña is not helping out here. Repairing…
Brian (bulaoren) on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026
Dr. Briggs I reckon you can be forgiven for today's little screed; That weather sounds pretty nasty. My only experience…
Lucy Tucker on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026
Yikes, Sarge, hang in there!

William M. Briggs

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails

Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings

Merry Christmas!

Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science

Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With Russia

Climate Models

Is Powerball A “Fair Game”?

No Class: But Here’s Some Homework

On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble Reviewed