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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Posted by By Briggs May 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inFun

Several inches of global warming fell in Taiwan

It's about 10oC, with the mercury still dropping here in Taipei. In the mountains to the south, it is and has been snowing. The cold air is forecast to remain…
Read More
Posted inFun

Wolf Blitzer interviews Scottish Justice Secretary Kenny MacAskill

Repost Who could have guessed that a confessed mass murder and terrorist would have broken the law once more? It is reported that Mohmed al-Megrahi has jumped bail, thus embarrassing…
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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part V, The real Grand Finale

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Much of what we discussed---but not all---is in this picture. Right click and open it in…
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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part IV

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V How much patience do you have left? On and on and on about the fundamentals, and…
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Posted inStatistics

Pajama’s Media: Global warming accelerating once again

Surf on over to Pajamas Media for today's update. "I'm from the U.N. and I'm here to help."
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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part III

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V We still have work to do. This is not simple stuff, and if we try and…
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Posted inFun

Schedule, Taiwan, More Homogenization

Landed in Taipei last night, after a bumpy fourteen-hour flight. I think the angry Air I teased last week was taking its revenge. From now, I'll have nothing but nice…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Homogenization of temperature series: Part II

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Aside: counterfactuals A counterfactual is statement saying what would be the case if its conditional were…
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  1. Johnno on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    This is your brain on the Theory of Evolution. Atheists should be restricted from any and all influential positions within…

  2. John M on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    My old brain still wants to read the acronym as the name Al (lower case L). That's why I like…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    Can there be an "Artificial Intelligence" that does not contain "Artifacts"?

  4. km on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerMay 3, 2026

    What happens if you choose not to participate?

  5. Briggs on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 3, 2026

    Gareth, And thanks for the comment.

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