William M. Briggs

Democracy Not Possible; The Constitution Amended

Specter Haunted Nobody ever trusts a turncoat. Why do people never remember that? The minute you turn your face against your brothers, you are finished. Your former enemies will embrace…

Culture

Sue Over Climate Change? Comer v. Murphy Oil

You know the old saying: if you don't like the weather, just wait five minutes. And then sue a company with a lot of money---the inclemency must be their fault.…

Culture Philosophy

You Too Can Be A Genius After 10,000 Hours

No, you cannot. That title is a lie, and, judging by a recent spate of books on the subject, a popular one. Ann Hulbert of Slate has compiled a list…

Culture Fun

Socialist Math Textbook Exercises

This post was inspired by an exchange we had in the review of Thomas Sowell's new book. You know how bad math classes have become. What makes it worse is…

Book review

Pajamas Media: Intellectuals by Thomas Sowell

Today's post is at Pajamas Media: Intellectuals by Thomas Sowell is reviewed. David Hume said, "A rule, which, in speculation, may seem the most advantageous to society, may yet be…

Culture

Intelligent Design is Mostly Harmlessness: Reply to Eugenie Scott

Eugenie C. Scott Executive Director National Center for Science Education Dear Ms Scott, Thank you for your recent letter informing me of the efforts of your fine organization to discourage…

Culture

Tree Hugger Squeezes Too Hard and Other Stories

It's been a busy week; I've been shifting around a bit. I expect to be back on track by Monday. Meanwhile, here are some interesting links. Green Party councillor dies…

Statistics

How Republican Is The Country?

This picture tells the story: The percent of seats of the House of Representatives, the Senate, and the Presidency are plotted, starting in the year of the relevant election. I…

John Pate on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 14, 2026
You haven't given any information the beast sizes of the women involved, this being an important factor (as demonstrated by…
JRob on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 14, 2026
Wow, Wow, Wow! Someone else used the exaggeration method! Years ago I tried to figure out the Monte Hall problem…
McChuck on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 13, 2026
There is a simpler, less math-intensive solution that gives the same answer. Knowing that it doesn't take two men to…
R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026
This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…
Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026
I asked an AI, and it had the same answer as me but with silly Bayes equations. Then out of…

William M. Briggs

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

Democracy Not Possible; The Constitution Amended

Sue Over Climate Change? Comer v. Murphy Oil

You Too Can Be A Genius After 10,000 Hours

Socialist Math Textbook Exercises

Pajamas Media: Intellectuals by Thomas Sowell

Intelligent Design is Mostly Harmlessness: Reply to Eugenie Scott

Tree Hugger Squeezes Too Hard and Other Stories

How Republican Is The Country?

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification