William M. Briggs

Pajamas Media: ‘A Blink of an Eye, Astronomically’: What Does It Actually Mean?

Today's post---as uncontroversial as ever a post can be---is over at Pajamas Media. The tag-line, sweetly provided by the editors, is, "Have humans only been around for 'a blink of…

Philosophy Statistics

All Models Are Not Wrong

George Box said, "Remember that all models are wrong; the practical question is how wrong do they have to be to not be useful." This is usually misremembered as the…

Statistics

Seasonal Climate Forecasts Do Not Have Skill

David Lavers is the lead author in a GRL paper "A multiple model assessment of seasonal climate forecast skill for applications." Lavers et al. checked eight different climate models and…

Statistics

R Lectures Update

Lectures are on hold for the next two weeks. I'll be traveling and unable to to create any new award-winning videos. Nor any new non-award-winning videos.

Statistics

Predictive Statistics: GPA Case Study, Part II

Read Part I : Download the Quirkâ€™s article. To understand why ordinary regression assumptions are bad, we need to look at some (new data) scenarios. Suppose that Bob had a…

Statistics

Predictive Statistics: GPA Case Study, Part I

Read Part II : Download the Quirkâ€™s article. Predictive statistics differs from classical (frequentist and Bayesian) practices because it focuses on observables and not metaphysical entities. Observables are the data…

Fun

Monday Moanin’

I stole that title from the late Bob Talbert, an everyman columnist from the late, or possibly undead, Detroit Free Press. He would use that title whenever he had a…

Philosophy Statistics

Ayn Rand and the Differences Between Groups

Roger Kimball is causing a stink, a predictable yet enjoyable stink, by publishing Anthony Daniels's review of an Ayn Rand biography in this month's The New Criterion. There are two…

Plantagenet on England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”January 10, 2025
I am puzzled Briggs! Why have you used a picture of, what appears to be, Kemi Badenoch? She is the…
Uncle Mike on England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”January 9, 2025
Gauss and Euler were not English, but that misses the point. Which is that any government that fails to protect…
Cary Cotterman on Register Your Predictions For 2025!January 9, 2025
1. There will be more assassination attempts on Trump. 2. Impeachment attempts on Trump will resume. 3. It won't rain…
Gail D Finke on Register Your Predictions For 2025!January 9, 2025
1) Kamala Harris will very briefly be the first woman president before Trump is inaugurated 2) Germany will try to…
SHAWN E MARSHALL on England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”January 9, 2025
Turin and Maxwell - two true extremely high intellects to add to your English Great Men.

William M. Briggs

England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”

Experts: Please Begin Panicking Over Bird Flu. Us: No. Experts: (Sob)

Environmental Experts To Rip Out Trees, Build Solar Electric Plant In Snow Belt To “Save The Environment”

Class 33: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology II

Register Your Predictions For 2025!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2024 Predictions?

Hot New The Science: Kids Are Having Climate Emotions

Merry Christmas!

The Lesson Scientists Never Learn

House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science Panics

Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take?

As Woke Falls, What Rises?

Class 32: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)

Who’s Better at Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls?

How The Enlightenment Led To Contraception (And Other Forms of Anti-Natal Behavior)

Science Model Told To Say Masks Work Discovers Masks Work

In Which Feynman Makes A Mistake: Negative Probabilities (Used In AI, QM, Finance)

Class 31: How Views Diverge With New Evidence

Ridley Claims Materialists, Atheists, & Secular Humanists Don’t Preach

What Health Insurance Should Be, But Isn’t

England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”

Experts: Please Begin Panicking Over Bird Flu. Us: No. Experts: (Sob)

Pajamas Media: ‘A Blink of an Eye, Astronomically’: What Does It Actually Mean?

All Models Are Not Wrong

Seasonal Climate Forecasts Do Not Have Skill

R Lectures Update

Predictive Statistics: GPA Case Study, Part II

Predictive Statistics: GPA Case Study, Part I

Monday Moanin’

Ayn Rand and the Differences Between Groups

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification