William M. Briggs

2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part I

Let's suppose everything you have heard about global warming is true. It really will warm by a half-degree Centigrade by 2050, or even by three-quarters of a degree, or whatever.…

Statistics

Democrats’ Appalling Budget Wishcast

Update No extra charge for today's initially misspelled headline. It is a logical fallacy to say that it OK for John to lie, cheat and steal because Mary lied, cheated…

Philosophy Statistics

The Science News Statistical Article: Odds Are, It’s Wrong

Many (thank you everybody!) people sent me the "Odds Are, It's Wrong" article by Tom Siegfried and have asked me to comment. Below are the key points; I will assume…

Culture Philosophy

A Most Depressing Day

I had planned on discussing the Tom Siegfried Science News "Odds Are, It's Wrong" article on how bad classical statistics is that many readers sent in. But---and I'm sorry to…

Culture

Obamacare Predictions: Part II

Read Part I. I'll be away from the computer a large portion of today and will be slow in answering comments. Your health care will degrade Since the deficit will…

Statistics

Obamacare Predictions: Part I

Here are some things I think will happen if Obamacare is passed. When I say "you" or "your", I mean "people on average." Obviously, some people will benefit. This is…

Culture

Pajamas Media: Sudden Acceleration or Creeping Fear?

Today's post is at Pajamas Media: Sudden Acceleration or Creeping Fear? Charlie Martin, now science and tech editor at Pajamas, asked me to look into the fatal accidents occurring in…

Statistics

Randomized Trials Are Not Needed

I promised this article a long time ago: I hope these well known calculations are enough to give the gist. Randomized controlled trials are supposed to be the gold standard…

Johnno on England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”January 10, 2025
Par for the course from a country whose King threatened many so that he could have a diversity of wives.…
Plantagenet on England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”January 10, 2025
I am puzzled Briggs! Why have you used a picture of, what appears to be, Kemi Badenoch? She is the…
Uncle Mike on England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”January 9, 2025
Gauss and Euler were not English, but that misses the point. Which is that any government that fails to protect…
Cary Cotterman on Register Your Predictions For 2025!January 9, 2025
1. There will be more assassination attempts on Trump. 2. Impeachment attempts on Trump will resume. 3. It won't rain…
Gail D Finke on Register Your Predictions For 2025!January 9, 2025
1) Kamala Harris will very briefly be the first woman president before Trump is inaugurated 2) Germany will try to…

William M. Briggs

England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”

Experts: Please Begin Panicking Over Bird Flu. Us: No. Experts: (Sob)

Environmental Experts To Rip Out Trees, Build Solar Electric Plant In Snow Belt To “Save The Environment”

Class 33: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology II

Register Your Predictions For 2025!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2024 Predictions?

Hot New The Science: Kids Are Having Climate Emotions

Merry Christmas!

The Lesson Scientists Never Learn

House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science Panics

Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take?

As Woke Falls, What Rises?

Class 32: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)

Who’s Better at Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls?

How The Enlightenment Led To Contraception (And Other Forms of Anti-Natal Behavior)

Science Model Told To Say Masks Work Discovers Masks Work

In Which Feynman Makes A Mistake: Negative Probabilities (Used In AI, QM, Finance)

Class 31: How Views Diverge With New Evidence

Ridley Claims Materialists, Atheists, & Secular Humanists Don’t Preach

What Health Insurance Should Be, But Isn’t

England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”

Experts: Please Begin Panicking Over Bird Flu. Us: No. Experts: (Sob)

2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part I

Democrats’ Appalling Budget Wishcast

The Science News Statistical Article: Odds Are, It’s Wrong

A Most Depressing Day

Obamacare Predictions: Part II

Obamacare Predictions: Part I

Pajamas Media: Sudden Acceleration or Creeping Fear?

Randomized Trials Are Not Needed

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification