MUCH MORE THAN WE CAN DO There is so much material this week I can’t include it all in one update. It would grow far too long. If it can be summed […]
Why Experts Hate Racial Differences In Intelligence
Steve Sailer highlights an interesting new paper on “cognitive ability” and genetic ancestry (which, in an effort to forestall criticism, perhaps, Sailer calls a “scientific paper”). It’s “Linear and partially linear models […]
Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!
The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It isn’t sticking, […]
One Milwaukee Ballot Curiosity & One New Theoretical Voter Fraud Tool
Milwaukee Milwaukee is comprised of a number of wards, almost 500, from which was collected the number of votes each candidate received in both the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections (official source […]
The Usefulness Of Historical Analogues: Russian – West Intelligentsia Parallels Example
Ed Lorenz back in 1961 was running, on a computer!, a simple weather model, with twelve full parameters. This was in the days of punch cards and paper print outs. He wanted […]
Forget Priors!
From Bill Raynor: Hello Matt, You like to discuss P(Y|M) a lot, but haven’t spent much time talking about the practical construction of that. A topic I’d like to see: a constructive […]
The Epidemiologist (P-value + Ecological) Fallacy Exposed (Video)
Video Link The Epidemiologist Fallacy marries the Ecological Fallacy with the P-value Fallacy. The Ecological Fallacy is when it is said X causes Y, but X is not measured, and instead a […]
Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Miscarriages And Air Pollution Edition
I love air pollution. Smells like progress. Good for you. Nothing healthier. Except smoking. There, now that that’s out of the way, let’s get to the paper “Air pollution-induced missed abortion risk […]
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