## Failed Counterexamples To The Principle Of Indifference

What is the so-called Principle Of Indifference? A semi-screwy, semi-right idea in probability. To cadge an example from David Stove, let T be any tautology (a truth), then      Pr(Bob is black […]

## What Statistics Really Is: Part Last

Read Part I, Part Paradox, Part II Recapitulation: we have Pr(p|qm) where p is a proposition of interest, q the evidence we have compiled in the form of observations and so forth, […]

## What Statistics Really Is: Part II

Read Part I, Part Paradox I claimed, and it is true, that all statistical problems could be written , where p is a proposition of interest and q is our evidence, or […]

## Jumping The Infinity Shark: An Answer To Senn; Part Last

Read Part V From his page 55 (as before slightly edited for HTML/LaTex): Consider the case of a binary event where the two outcomes are success, S, or failure F and we […]

Background A paradox is a mistake in thinking; an artificial, human creation which usually arises because a conclusion which follows from a set of beloved premises is itself unloved. Twitter user @alpheccar […]

## The Pearl of Great Price–Pascal’s Wager Revisited: Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland is a self-described “retired, cranky, old physicist” and convert to Catholicism. He blogs at Reflections of a Catholic Scientist, where this piece first appeared. Again, the kingdom of heaven is […]

## Precaution: Part II—Guest Post by J.C. Hanekamp

For all the flurry surrounding precaution—being portrayed as a decisional/procedural instrument to protect human and environmental health from the (potential) dangers of human activities—the history shows that we are dealing with something […]

## Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part Final: Parameters!

(All the stuff in this series is, in a fuller form, in my new upcoming book, which is tentatively called Logical Probability and Statistics—but I’ve only changed the title 342 times, so […]