FiveThirtyEight ran the piece “Here’s What Happens When You Ban Affirmative Action In College Admissions” that ran some dicey stats. Affirmative Action is, as all know, the practice of rewarding somebody for […]
Heartland Climate Conference: Day 1. Everybody Gets Time Series Wrong
As predicted, there were cigars. But I missed them. The smoking party left without me while I listed to Ireland’s version of the Mr Wizard brothers. A science experiment involving a syringe, […]
Tide Gauge Locations And Sea Level Rise, Some Statistical Concerns
Marcel Crok asked me to comment on the peer-reviewed paper “Tide gauge location and the measurement of global sea level rise” Beenstock (yes) and others in the journal Environmental and Ecological Statistics. […]
It’s World Statistics Day! Death To P-Values, Hypothesis Tests, And False Ascriptions Of Cause! #StatsDay15
Who said the UN doesn’t do anything useful? Courtesy of that august body, it’s World Statistics Day! Official statistics help decision makers develop informed policies that impact millions of people. Improved data […]
Some Like It Hot: The Hottest Year Ever Inside A Global Warming “Pause”? The Stream. Updates
I rarely ask this, but I’d like you all to go The Stream and pass my article on to as many as you can. (Don’t link here, but link at The Stream.) […]
The Four Errors in Mann et al’s “The Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth”
Michael E. Mann and four others published the peer-reviewed paper “The Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth” in Nature: Scientific Reports (DOI: 10.1038/srep19831). I shall call this authors of this paper “Mann” for […]
The IPCC’s And McKitrick’s “Hiatus” Time Series Models
Several readers asked me to look at Ross McKitrick’s paper “HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time Series”, which is receiving the usual internet peer-reviewing […]
What Is Cause Like?
Time for the two-week teaching sojourn. In order to grasp cause, we need a brief, a very brief, introduction to the Aristotelian metaphysics of change. These are ancient views, largely abandoned in […]
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