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The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
Posted inStatistics

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

Bad news, friends. Some people---none of you, I am sure---pass off AI as if it were their own work. There is a certain profession, which I'll won't reveal except to…
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A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
Posted inStatistics

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

As happens throughout history, named persons end up meeting. In this case, Carl Jung and Wolfgang Pauli. As this article says: Jung and Pauli struck an unusual friendship, which lasted…
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Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
Posted inStatistics

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

We previously, and briefly, discussed The Paper Test (see the articles on limitations at bottom here), which is an argument that computers, including those laden with AI, are not alive,…
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Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
Posted inStatistics

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

If I had to pick one paper to represent why the Class is so important, about why so much which passes for science is unworthy, it might be the peer-reviewed…
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Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
Posted inStatistics

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

I sat down with Wilbur Salazar, who runs the brand new Faith Deposited site and YouTube channel, and had a chat about the philosophy of science and religion. Well, I…
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Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
Posted inStatistics

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
Posted inStatistics

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

Ressentiment and hurt feelings over lose of prestige has hit many academic scientists hard. The ebbing away of respect and deference was not something they prepared for. They were taught,…
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  1. Stephen W. Shipman on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 4, 2026

    One long, one short (or longer as the spirit moves you from time to time). Guess drop ins are a…

  2. John Pate on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”June 4, 2026

    There are either no space aliens or they're here and running things for their own purposes. Either way there's nothing…

  3. John Pate on No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke CodersJune 4, 2026

    The Pope is still flogging the Climate Change dead horse, which of course relies on models for its supposed veracity.…

  4. Patrick on No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke CodersJune 3, 2026

    This is the sort of nonsense scare mongering that goes in, depressing.. https://www.stuff.co.nz/world-news/360987487/what-your-p-doom-terrifying-metric-used-ai-experts

  5. C-Marie on No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke CodersJune 3, 2026

    Thank you, Matt! Poor, poor Pope Leo XIV and the synodal business .... praying every day for Leo, for full…

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