Search Results for “model” – Page 59

The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Premature Birth Rate Edition

Hypothesis testing leads to more scientific nonsense than any other practice, including fraud. Hypothesis testing, as regular readers know, cannot identify cause. It conflates decision with probability and leads to…

Philosophy Statistics

Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!

Next time somebody asks you "What's the Probability of X", where X is any proposition, say this: there is no such probability. It doesn't exist. "Briggs, what's the probability of…

Fun

Technical Notes On Destroying Universities From Space With Large Rocks

Headline Students bark in protest to save the trees. Seems Western Michigan University was going to cut down some trees. Students duly went outside and barked. Anything to avoid studying---which…

Class Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part XI

Review! We left off with comparing the standard, out-of-the-box linear regression with our multinomial predictive observable model. The great weaknesses of the regression were probability leakage (giving positive probability to…

Culture

Math Paper Scuttled By Angry Feminists & Frightened Effeminates: With Critique of the Paper Itself

First, I confess angry feminists and frightened effeminates are grammatical tautologies on the order of unmarried bachelor, but I plead artistic license. These words, while logically flawed, are more arresting.…

Culture

Insanity & Doom Update LXIV

Item The Name 'Weight Watchers' Is Apparently Politically Incorrect, So They've Changed It The weight loss juggernaut formally known as Weight Watchers wants "everyone" to be included, and thus has…

Class Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part X

Review! Last time we created four models of CGPA. Which is correct? They all are. Why? I should ask as a homework question, but I'll remind us here. Since all…

Statistics

Trend Models & The Inability To Discover Cause

The plot atop this post is one of an observable, the cause of which is known to be related to a variety of physical, chemical, biological, geographical, and even sociological…

Pk on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 18, 2024
I also heard on local radio that Covid is surging again. The reporter cited waste water analysis as how the…
Justinian on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 18, 2024
Up in Canuckistan, every time Justin Trudeau needed to be removed from the public eye he would test positive for…
Justinian on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 18, 2024
Phew! What a relief! And here I thought my mental issues were dissonance and low-level panic being caused by a…
Tim O. on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 18, 2024
Funny, perfect timing, as usual, Mr. Briggs! NPR, as of this morning of 7/18, reports Biden coming down with "mild"…
Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim Researchers – William M. Briggs on Dreaded Delta; Noble Lies In The Name of Science; No Fly List With Mark of the Vex; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXXIIIJuly 18, 2024
[…] the midst of the panic there were two stories that didn’t get a lot of coverage. The first (linked…