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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Posted inStatistics

No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders

Posted by By Briggs June 3, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?

Posted by By Briggs June 1, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bad News For Conservatives? Or Bad News For Rational Thought?

Let's examine Marcus Arvan's peer-reviewed paper, "Bad News for Conservatives? Moral Judgments and the Dark Triad Personality Traits: A Correlational Study", published in the 25 July 2011 issue of Neuroethics.…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Warming, Asinine Science Roundup

Still in Taipei and a bit swamped. Here are some links that will be of interest; mostly provided by Willie Soon, Marc Morano, and readers just like you! Trenberth's Null…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

A Sermon You Won’t Forget: The Exorcist at 40

The Exorcist: 40th Anniversary Edition by William Peter Blatty   If you're only familiar with the (original, 1973 version of the) movie, it might surprise you that The Exorcist is…
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Posted inFun

Taiwan’s Nan-Men Market 南門市場

Time to go shopping! On Sunday I strolled through the bustling Nan-men market which is on the far side of the Chiang Kai-shek Memorial Hall. The basement is crammed with…
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Posted inStatistics

Two New Papers vs. BEST: Guest Post by Lüdecke, Link, and Ewert

Horst Lüdecke is a Professor of Physiker in EIKE, European Institute for Climate and Energy, Heidelberg; Dr. Link is a physicist with EIKE; Prof. Dr. Friedrich-Karl Ewert is a geologist…
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Posted inStatistics

BEST And The Wall Street Journal’s Numbers Guy

Carl Bialik, the Wall Street Journal's Numbers Guy, has two columns about BEST's temperature reconstruction model: "Global Temperatures: All Over the Map" and "A New Trove of Global Temperature Numbers").…
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Posted inStatistics

The Twinkie Defense Defended: Soda Pop And Violence In Teens

In 1979, Dan White1 was tried for the assassinations of San Francisco city district Supervisor Harvey Milk and Mayor George Moscone. His lawyers argued that he had diminished capacity and…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Counterfactuals And Woodchuck Probability Distributions

I have, with mechanical aid, again winged my way across the globe in search of treasure. I landed disoriented and would not trust myself to calculate even the integral of…
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  1. C-Marie on No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke CodersJune 3, 2026

    Thank you, Matt! Poor, poor Pope Leo XIV and the synodal business .... praying every day for Leo, for full…

  2. Anonimos?aw on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerJune 3, 2026

    "By age 80, the men who made it are more robust and the women start slipping under faster." Well, since…

  3. jgh on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerJune 3, 2026

    I do census data research, and something very striking is comparing age profiles. The age distribution in 1900 is more-or-less…

  4. jgh on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 3, 2026

    Surely the only logical reasoning is: if he knew what he was doing, he should be executed as punishment. If…

  5. Stephen Frick on No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke CodersJune 3, 2026

    Thank you. This has so many valuable observations.

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