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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

Posted by By Briggs May 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Posted by By Briggs May 6, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Can fMRI Predict Who Believes In God? Part V

Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII Quick review: people's heads were stuck in an fMRI; inside, they read questions to which…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Only 2 days left! Predictions For 2012: Submit Yours Today!

Update Predictions are closed for this year. Come back New Year's Eve to see how we've done. We'll change the rules slightly this year and ask that everybody now predict…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Predictions For 2011. How’d We do?

Last January 1st I asked for everybody to provide verifiable predictions for the year. Time for reckoning! Tomorrow I'll ask us to provide predictions for 2012, so hold off on…
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Posted inStatistics

Can fMRI Predict Who Believes In God? Part IV

Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII We continue with the questions. Number 58: God will eventually reward those who live the…
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Posted inStatistics

Can fMRI Predict Who Believes In God? Part III

Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII It is finally time to describe the experiment itself. People were stuck inside an fMRI…
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Posted inStatistics

Can fMRI Predict Who Believes God? Part II

Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII I don't want to bore us, but it is crucial to read the team's explanation…
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Posted inStatistics

Can fMRI Predict Who Believes In God? Part I

Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII Did you know that "regions" of your brain "light up" when you think about Santa…
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Posted inCulture Fun

Merry Federal Holiday Of December 25th That Shall Remain Nameless!

Here's proof that the unnameable Day's---a.k.a. "holiday", a.k.a. "holidays", a.k.a. (rare) "holy day"---spirit is in all of us. Plus sure evidence that Shakespeare was right (yet again). One grand lady…
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  1. shawn marshall on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    General Pyotr Wrangel in his bokk "Always with Honor" immediately stopped the predation by his own troo[s upon peasants by…

  2. McChuck on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    I firmly support the concept of "three strikes and you're out" as it applies to capital punishment for a series…

  3. McChuck on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    Capital punishment may or may not (although it almost certainly does) reduce criminality in the general sense. But it undeniably…

  4. dadgervais on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 8, 2026

    As I (computer engineer, retired) have always maintained: people who believe in mechanical inteligence suffer from "Clever Hans Syndrome". A…

  5. NLR on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 7, 2026

    It appears that Dawkins does not have a well thought out philosophy of consciousness and so he has psyched himself…

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