William M. Briggs

Science Explains Belief In God Through Genetics

Let's look at "Life's Extremes: Atheists vs. Believers", a piece on Live Science (the home of unexpurgated university press releases; hat tip to HotAir). The article is itself slight---it begins…

Statistics

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…

Fun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…

Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

The models in Part I might not have "felt right" to you. But if that is so it is because your diet of probability examples has been too narrowly constricted.…

Uncle Mike on The Triumph Of The FeminineOctober 22, 2025
I've always been appalled by the Lesbians for Abortion lobby. These "gals" don't produce babies (biological truth, Ketanji). So none…
Milton Hathaway on The Triumph Of The FeminineOctober 22, 2025
I felt an intense stab of searing phantom pain at first sight of the cover photo. I've heard that women…
Cary Cotterman on The Triumph Of The FeminineOctober 22, 2025
I think there should be extra credit for dotting I's with tiny circles, flowers, or hearts. Not knowing when you…
CorkyAgain on The Triumph Of The FeminineOctober 22, 2025
I've been trying to find a way to work in a reference to Ringo's "I've Got Blisters on My Fingers"…
Sid Porter on The Triumph Of The FeminineOctober 22, 2025
Briggs, can I suggest a volume for the reading list? Retitle copies of The Book of Italian War Heroes with…

William M. Briggs

The Triumph Of The Feminine

At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?

The Superpower You Didn’t Know You Had

Class 69: Why Parameters Don’t Exist

Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living Forever

Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”

Good Vs Bad Science (Models) & How You Can Tell The Difference: Think Twice Science

Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way

The Lancet’s New Push To Ban Meat

‘Termination Shock’: Newest Entry In Science Doom Naming Contest

Changing Clocks In Fall Will Stroke You Out, Fatty: Research

Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way

Big Things Are Happening With Celebrities, The Pope & “Climate Change”!

The Main Barrier To Reproduction Is Ideas

How You Helped Academics Justify Sex With Children

Class 66: The Difference Between Uncertainty and Decision

Autism & Tylenol

The Charlie Kirk Killing Theories: The (Non)-Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories 2

In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No Value

Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This

Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To Say

The Triumph Of The Feminine

At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?

Science Explains Belief In God Through Genetics

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification