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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
February 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

Posted by By Briggs April 2, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Posted by By Briggs March 31, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

My Failure To Purchase Something In The Market Subjects Me To Regulation

The title words were spoken to Solicitor General Verrilli by Justice Scalia in yesterday's oral arguments. Scalia was making the obvious point that because he might not buy a thing…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

The Universe Created From Nothing Says Lawrence Krauss

This fragment of conversation was reported to me by a reliable witness. It occurred between a gentlemen we will call "Daffy" and Lawrence M. Krauss upon the occasion of the…
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Posted inCulture

Supreme Court To Check The Doctrine Of Unintended Consequences?

This country, like all other countries, has at times lost its mind. But this country, again like all others, since it is constituted differently than the others, goes insane in…
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Posted inCulture

Why You Don’t Want Free Health Care: Supreme Court Hears Arguments On Obamacare

Our reading today is from the Constitution, first Act, eighth Section, third Clause: [The Congress shall have Power] To regulate Commerce with foreign Nations, and among the several States, and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayes Theorem Proves Jesus Existed And Didn’t Exist

In his shockingly neglected, A Treatise on Probability John Maynard Keynes put his finger on the difficulty people have with probability, particularly Bayes's Theorem: No other formula in the alchemy…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Experts Say People Aren’t Smart Enough

Public Policy Polling's Tom Jensen said recently, "The first lesson you learn as a pollster is that people are stupid." Jensen represents a common attitude among media denizens that ordinary…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Global Warming Feedback Confirmed!

Just some gentle teasing today. Every climate scientist knows that it's the feedback that counts, that the few squirts of carbon dioxide contributed to the atmosphere are powerless in isolation.…
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Posted inFun

This Page Intentionally Left Blank

I was, as regular readers know, in the U.S. Air Force. I was a crypto specialist. Top Secret stuff, code words, all that. Part of the job required reading and…
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  1. JH on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenApril 1, 2026

    Promoting greater equality at home can be a solution, in addition to offering incentives to involve grandparents, as Frick suggests…

  2. Uncle Mike on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenApril 1, 2026

    I feel the same way. Tilting at windmills while the sun sets. Impossible dream, unbeatable foe, marching into hell for…

  3. Cloudbuster on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenMarch 31, 2026

    "How can you deny women what men have?" One simple word: No.

  4. Cary D Cotterman on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenMarch 31, 2026

    Given the tsunami surge of Islam into the West, welcomed by its leaders and their useful idiot voters; the takeover…

  5. Steve on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenMarch 31, 2026

    I think the soft men thing requires a certain kind of softness. Tolerance. Men soft in other ways results in…

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April 2026
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