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William M. Briggs

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Science Is Becoming Feelings
November 9, 2026
Class 100: Watch The Skies! But Only During Nuclear Tests?
November 5, 2026
After The Elections, The Book
November 4, 2026
The Solution To Evolution
November 2, 2026
Class 99: Entropy Part I
October 29, 2026
Book Update: Launch Date
October 28, 2026
Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism Manifesto
October 26, 2026
Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With Personality
October 22, 2026
I’m Thinking Of A Number Between 1 and 5 (that you can’t guess)
October 21, 2026
Against Numerology: Some Basic Calculations
October 19, 2026
Class 97: The Goal Of Models
October 15, 2026
Book Update
October 14, 2026
Sexual Assault Galore At Cornell
October 12, 2026
Class 96: Can Bayesianism Quantify True Belief?
October 8, 2026
Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save Us
October 5, 2026
Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?
October 1, 2026
Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” Abortions
September 30, 2026
Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the Ants
September 28, 2026
Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses Challenges
September 25, 2026
Whoring For Climate Change
September 23, 2026
Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer Review
September 21, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Science Is Becoming Feelings

Posted by By Briggs November 9, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 100: Watch The Skies! But Only During Nuclear Tests?

Posted by By Briggs November 5, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

True Value Of A Parameter

Jelle de Jong writes in to ask: Working as a quant analyst in finance I recently got interested in the Briggsian/Jaynesian/Bayesian interpretation of probability but am still struggling a bit…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Probably Isn’t: Heat Waves and Nine Feet Tall Men: Part II

McKibben's Folly Suppose it is true that we have E = "A six-sided object, just one side of which is labeled 6, and when tossed only one side will show."…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Probably Isn’t: Heat Waves and Nine Feet Tall Men: Part I

Probability is screwy, and we statisticians do a horrible, rotten job of teaching it. The first thing students learn in normal statistics classes is about "measures of central tendency" or…
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Posted inStatistics

Men Nine Feet Tall And Bayes Theorem

The OFloinn put up a most readable and recommended essay When is Weather Really "Climate"? and in one of the comments a reader named Gyan in part said: Many economists…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Decline And Increase Of Mainstream Religions In The USA: With Pictures!

The Episcopals, like many other old guard protesting religions, are in trouble. Jay Akasie tells us that at this year's annual conclave, the Episcopalian leadership had their most serious discussions…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Certainty & Uncertainty: Logical Probability & Statistics

Since we have spent the weekend with these matters, I thought it appropriate to include the first part of the Introduction to the new book I've been working on. It…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More On The 1 in 1.6 Million Heat Wave Chance

Yesterday we looked at NCDC's claim that the 13-month stretch of "above-normal" temperatures had only a 1 in 1.6 million chance of occurring. Let's today clarify the criticism. The NCDC…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Chance Of Heat Wave Only 1 in 1.6 Million? Or, Probability Gone Wrong

My dad took a swing with his nine-iron and the wiffle simulacrum of a golf ball took flight, arched upwards, spun left and, without bouncing, landed atop my favorite blade…
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  1. shawn marshall on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 9, 2026

    it ain't really off topic : wymyn's suffrage is destroying the USA,

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 9, 2026

    @Susan Powers I would urge you not to go Q.E.D.-ing prematurely. As Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson might tell you; The…

  3. APC Carrier on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 9, 2026

    There was a group of comedians in Argentina which once darted the following joke: "I am not completely useless, at…

  4. Phil R on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 9, 2026

    The authors appear to be all women. With no other information we don't know if any of them are men…

  5. Susan Powers on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 9, 2026

    Thought I would demonstrate my laser sharp perspective: the authors are all women.

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