William M. Briggs

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III

Part I, II, III, IV, V. The objection which will occur to those, Lord help them, who have had some statistical training is that "increased" means a combination of "linear…

Philosophy Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part II

Part I, II, III, IV, V. Before us are the observations X1 to X156. Recall we are assuming that each of these X has been measured without any error. Given…

Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part I

This series originally began 5 February 2012. Part I, II, III, IV, V. We've gone on and on about how to think about time series, but we are having trouble…

Philosophy Statistics

On Corrections In Science

Somebody attributed to Max Planck, a constant1 source of wisdom, the saying that science advances funeral by funeral. This is a pithy condensation of his more famous quotation: A new…

Culture Fun Statistics

Should Scientists Be Held Legally Responsible for Their Results?

That title is lifted from Popular Science's brief article. The idea is that scientists---as philosopher Christopher Essex reminded me, just like doctors and accountants and businessmen and engineers and everybody…

Statistics

On Global Warming Apoplexy: Temperature Trends

It is a sure sign that Sanity has packed her bags and headed for the door when otherwise sober scientists begin slinging around terms like "denier" and "denialist." Language like…

Fun Statistics

How To Maximize The Chance Of Winning The Office Super Bowl Pool

Forget climatology. It's time for something really controversial. How to fill in those grid squares on the Super Bowl office pool. An example of one is shown below. The full…

Statistics

Bad Astronomer Does Bad Statistics: That Wall Street Journal Editorial

Remember when I said how you shouldn't draw straight lines in time series and then speak of the line as if the line was the data itself? About how the…

Johnno on Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”October 14, 2025
Fatima is believed not only for the weight of evidence in it's favor (it was also testfied to by hardened…
Lucy Tucker on Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”October 14, 2025
Scidolator. I like it.
Cary Cotterman on Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”October 14, 2025
Brad, I tend to fear, based on what I've been told by the religious, as well as what's in the…
brad.tittle on Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”October 14, 2025
Science gives me all kinds of faith. When a leaf falls, the physics gives me a rough idea of what…
brad.tittle on Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”October 14, 2025
This atheist is where he is largely because the term atheist keeps the religious zealots at bay. The proprietor of…

William M. Briggs

Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”

Good Vs Bad Science (Models) & How You Can Tell The Difference: Think Twice Science

Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way

The Lancet’s New Push To Ban Meat

‘Termination Shock’: Newest Entry In Science Doom Naming Contest

Changing Clocks In Fall Will Stroke You Out, Fatty: Research

Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way

Big Things Are Happening With Celebrities, The Pope & “Climate Change”!

The Main Barrier To Reproduction Is Ideas

How You Helped Academics Justify Sex With Children

Class 66: The Difference Between Uncertainty and Decision

Autism & Tylenol

The Charlie Kirk Killing Theories: The (Non)-Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories 2

In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No Value

Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This

Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To Say

Chinese Scientists Pull Off Hilarious “Climate Change” Troll?

On The Myths Of Scientism

Use The Tools The Left Created Against Them

The Various Solutions To Black Crime Analyzed

The False Expectation Of Permanence

Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”

Good Vs Bad Science (Models) & How You Can Tell The Difference: Think Twice Science

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part II

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part I

On Corrections In Science

Should Scientists Be Held Legally Responsible for Their Results?

On Global Warming Apoplexy: Temperature Trends

How To Maximize The Chance Of Winning The Office Super Bowl Pool

Bad Astronomer Does Bad Statistics: That Wall Street Journal Editorial

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification