William M. Briggs

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part III

To clarify: to prove false means to demonstrate a valid argument with a certain conclusion. If a theory/model says an event is merely unlikely---make it as unlikely as you like,…

Philosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part…

Philosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part I

These next posts are in the way of being notes to myself. Logic is the study of the relation between statements. For example, if "All green men are irascible, and…

Statistics

Job Wanted: Tall Statistician Seeks Match

I am hoping that among my faithful readers there is somebody that knows somebody who might know a guy who's looking for a statistician. The economy is such that consulting…

Philosophy Statistics

What Scientific Concept Would Improve Everybody’s Cognitive Toolkit? Edge

Long-time reader Randy Brich reminds us all to head over to Edge.org and read the responses to the 2011 World Question given in the title. It will be worth your…

Fun

The Wine List

Wine is a new to Taiwan. At least, western-style fermented grapes are. Five or six years ago it could be found, but only in a few places, mostly high-end grocery…

Statistics

The Statistics Of Racial And Gender Gaps

Suppose we have collected data on some measure deemed important to society. Examples are fireman entrance exams, standardized test scores in mathematics, income, IQ, and so forth. Higher measures are…

Culture Fun

Germany To Ban Noisy Kids?

All of Germany wants them damn kids off their lawns. According to the Times of India, the "German government on Friday said it was working on a bill aimed at…

JerryR on Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & FaithApril 23, 2024
"Or is it turtles all the way down" This is an expression commonly used and in actuality is the basis…
JerryR on Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & FaithApril 23, 2024
“ And what caused the existence of this entity that exists outside of time and space” Nothing. It does not…
Hagfish Bagpipe on Why I Don’t Want To Be Made To Support IsraelApril 23, 2024
Not a bad soap box speech, Johnno, not bad at all. Couple points though we might discuss next time we're…
Briggs on Bipartisan Means The Fix Is InApril 23, 2024
They are everywhere, Yawrate.
Johnno on Bipartisan Means The Fix Is InApril 23, 2024
U.S.A.!!! U.S.A.!!! U.S.A... I mean... U.Ka.Raine!!! U.Ka.Raine!!! U.Ka.Raine!!! The war is not meant to be won, it's meant to be…

William M. Briggs

Bipartisan Means The Fix Is In

Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & Faith

The Week In Doom: The Distraction Of Truth Edition

William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry

Winning Is Losing: Yarvin vs Rufo. Added: Was NatCon A Victory?

Why I Don’t Want To Be Made To Support Israel

Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas

The Week In Doom: Follow The Science Edition

MRI Claims 92% Accuracy Predicting Sexual “Orientation”. My Schmengee Mediscan 3000™ Beats It

Science Proves Isaac Newton Doesn’t Even Break Into Top 8,000 All Time Greatest Scientists

Look! Up In The Sky! It’s BIRD FLU!

Class 1: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Teaser

Triumphant Return of The Week In Doom! Birth Prevention Edition

Artificial Intelligence and Irrational Fears — Guest Post by Jim Fedako

Did Republicans Report More Vax Adverse Events? How Not To Do Statistics

Never Safety First

Changes & Announcing The Uncertainty Probability Science Statistics Class

Christ Is Risen

It Should Be Illegal To Question, Ridicule, Downplay or Deny The Resurrection

Our Rulers Are Insane

That New Intermittent-Fasting-Is-Deadly Study Is Not So Hot

Bipartisan Means The Fix Is In

Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & Faith

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part III

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part I

Job Wanted: Tall Statistician Seeks Match

What Scientific Concept Would Improve Everybody’s Cognitive Toolkit? Edge

The Wine List

The Statistics Of Racial And Gender Gaps

Germany To Ban Noisy Kids?

William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry

Never Safety First

Probability Is Not Frequentist, Nor Math, Nor Real, Nor Subjective

Does Quantum Mechanics Speak To Theology? — Guest Post by Bob Kurland