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Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models
May 8, 2025
Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?
May 7, 2025
Reproducibility Crises Will Be Forever With Us Until We Abandon Classical Statistics
May 6, 2025
AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor Lie
May 5, 2025
Class 48: What Is A Model?
May 1, 2025
I’m Going To Sue Scientists Who Gave Me Apoplexy Over Claims Of Climate Liability
April 30, 2025
Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your Money
April 29, 2025
The Sun Made To Set On The British Empire – Via Science!
April 28, 2025
Class 47: Billions Of Models!
April 24, 2025
A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin Reviewed
April 22, 2025
Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested
April 21, 2025
Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness
April 17, 2025
The Educational Empire Strikes Back
April 16, 2025
Can Jinn & The Evil Eye Cause Disease?
April 15, 2025
Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active
April 14, 2025
Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification
April 10, 2025
New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look
April 9, 2025
A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence
April 8, 2025
Power Restored, Posts To Resume
April 7, 2025
No posts, class. No power, no internet
April 1, 2025
MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies
March 31, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models

Posted by By Briggs May 8, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?

Posted by By Briggs May 7, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inFun

Open Thread: What To Chat About Next?

It is once again Travel Day---or was: I'm writing this in state of advanced jet lag. So, in lieu of thought I've written this little introduction to nothing, hoping you…
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Posted inStatistics

Increasing Replication Of Un-Reproducibility In Science

Best science picture of the year, courtesy of the Wall Street Journal (and thanks to reader Dan Hughes): In just the last decade---ten mere years---the number of "peer-reviewed" journal articles…
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Posted inCulture

Make Colleges Co-Signers Of Student Loans?

As often has been said, if everybody is a genius, then nobody is. The wisdom in this apothegm is little changed by the modification: if everybody has a certification of…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Science Explains Belief In God Through Genetics

Let's look at "Life's Extremes: Atheists vs. Believers", a piece on Live Science (the home of unexpurgated university press releases; hat tip to HotAir). The article is itself slight---it begins…
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Posted inStatistics

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…
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Posted inStatistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…
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  1. Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025

    What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…

  2. Milton Hathaway on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 8, 2025

    I have been making heavy use of the more well-known LLMs lately. I use them almost exclusively as "regurgitation engines",…

  3. shawn marshall on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025

    Let us not discredit the demonic.

  4. Cary Cotterman on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025

    Blair: "...lightning came inside and chased her to a back bedroom." Anyone who can outrun lightning, even if it's only…

  5. McChuck on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025

    I knew a fellow win the Army who had been struck by lightning three times. Whenever he heard thunder, he…

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