William M. Briggs

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

The models in Part I might not have "felt right" to you. But if that is so it is because your diet of probability examples has been too narrowly constricted.…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part I

The rules of logic are simple. Use whatever evidence you have, and no other, to figure the probability of a conclusion. These rules are all we need to understand what…

Fun

Muppets Offer Human Sacrifice!

Finally! I offer tangible proof that listening to the Beatles can drive one to evil. Prolonged, repetitious exposure to their music causes madness leading, in rare cases, to human sacrifice!…

Culture Philosophy

Studies Show Mike McQueary Did What You Would Have Done

A lot of wrist-twisting and hand-wringing over Mike McQueary's actions after he came across Penn State Coach Jerry Sandusky raping a 10-year-old boy in the showers. McQueary, who Mark Steyn…

Culture

A Black Day Indeed: To Be Thankful For Shopping (Updated)

It is something of a tradition at this blog to commemorate the annual plunge into the depths of mindless materialism and conspicuous consumerism which we call "Black Friday." It is…

Fun

Happy Thanksgiving

We are all thankful for many things, but let's pause to be especially grateful for Bing Crosby, who can make even silly lyrics sound good: For wonderfully bad jokes like…

Culture Statistics

Something To Be Thankful For: Climategate 2.0

Thanks to Mr, or Mrs, Anonymous, that generous individual who has graced us with a new batch of emails from the world's top climate scientists. These new missives are guaranteed…

Cary Cotterman on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
It's not just Mika and Rachel. Joy Reid has also been flipping her wig. May their ratings plummet into the…
Joy on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
Dear Uncle Mike, regarding the ICBM's, I'm thinking Russia will show restraint until January. If Putin is cornered, things will…
Uncle Mike on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
Great pic. Thank you, Brother.
William Wallace on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
The Brzezinski family has also embraced the economic fallacies they once fled. Perhaps they view their version of Marxist Socialist…
Hagfish Bagpipe on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
THE END IS NEAR! And after the end... THE BEGINNING!

William M. Briggs

Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

How To Read The Paper Claiming Semaglutide Reduces Cardiomyocyte Size and Cardiac Mass

Class 30: Hypothesis Testing Stinks I

Mark Twain On The Dictatorship Of Health

The Impossibilities Of Quantum Computing

What Science Can Say About Vaccines: And What It Can’t Say

Bad Predictions Mean Bad Models, Even If You’re A Distinguished Expert

Class 29: Nothing Has A Distribution

Women Let Him Win — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Trends In Wokeness & Girlbossery In Science

Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way?

Fixing College: Hit Them In The Money, Replace Their Prestige

Class 28: Randomization Redux (Randomization Does Nothing)

If We Are What We Sexually Desire, How About These Curious People?

What The Covid Panic Did To Science

We Win

See You On The Other Side

Class 27: Probability Is In Your Mind, Not Things

How Tim Walz Did Not Know Models Only Say What They’re Told To Say

Hell On Earth: 1978’s Zombie Apocalypse ‘Dawn Of The Dead’ Reviewed

The Decline Of Western Christianity: Gradually Then Suddenly