William M. Briggs

Top 10 Sure Things: Which NFL Games Were The Easiest To Pick?

Today's post is over at Edgehogs. I wanted to see how extreme bookies would go in making NFL picks, as judged by the probabilities of home-team wins as derived from…

Fun Statistics

How To Find True Love: The Marriage Problem

MEB + ARK, a.k.a. the Haystack Hunters, wrote the following: As fans of your work in real life probability and breaking the law of averages, we were hoping you could…

Statistics

Hurricane Predictors Admit They Can’t Predict Hurricanes

My heart soared like a hawk1 after learning that Messieurs Philip Klotzbach and William Gray have admitted in print the hardest thing scientists can ever confess. That they were wrong.…

Philosophy

Is Free Will an Illusion?

Tis the season to ask the title question, as it was rhetorically asked by Shaun Nichols, an academic "experimental" philosopher at the University of Arizona. Nichols has sympathy with those…

Statistics

CARB Misinterprets Statistics, Calls For Elimination Of Dust

The California Air Resources Board, or CARB, has issued a press release that shows how easy it is to misunderstand statistics. That most do---fail to comprehend what statistical results are…

Fun Statistics

Are Moneylines Useful In Predicting NFL Games?

Today's post is over at Edgehogs. I wanted to know how good moneylines were at predicting wins and loses. Since Las Vegas is still in business, it was a good…

Fun

Count Zappula, Horror Host Par Excellence

Gaylord, Michigan, 1979, population 3000. It was 11:30pm, I was 15, in bed watching television with the house dark, parents asleep, a small B&W portable set perched on the blanket,…

Fun

Open Thread: What To Chat About Next?

It is once again Travel Day---or was: I'm writing this in state of advanced jet lag. So, in lieu of thought I've written this little introduction to nothing, hoping you…

Uncle Mike on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
Dear Joy, Goodness always wins in the end. Or the End. All powerful is not a speculation. Keep the faith.…
Paul Murphy on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
It is an odd truth that whenever libs do stupid stuff they turn out to be relying on the other…
Cary Cotterman on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
It's not just Mika and Rachel. Joy Reid has also been flipping her wig. May their ratings plummet into the…
Joy on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
Dear Uncle Mike, regarding the ICBM's, I'm thinking Russia will show restraint until January. If Putin is cornered, things will…
Uncle Mike on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
Great pic. Thank you, Brother.

William M. Briggs

Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

How To Read The Paper Claiming Semaglutide Reduces Cardiomyocyte Size and Cardiac Mass

Class 30: Hypothesis Testing Stinks I

Mark Twain On The Dictatorship Of Health

The Impossibilities Of Quantum Computing

What Science Can Say About Vaccines: And What It Can’t Say

Bad Predictions Mean Bad Models, Even If You’re A Distinguished Expert

Class 29: Nothing Has A Distribution

Women Let Him Win — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Trends In Wokeness & Girlbossery In Science

Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way?

Fixing College: Hit Them In The Money, Replace Their Prestige

Class 28: Randomization Redux (Randomization Does Nothing)

If We Are What We Sexually Desire, How About These Curious People?

What The Covid Panic Did To Science

We Win

See You On The Other Side

Class 27: Probability Is In Your Mind, Not Things

How Tim Walz Did Not Know Models Only Say What They’re Told To Say

Hell On Earth: 1978’s Zombie Apocalypse ‘Dawn Of The Dead’ Reviewed

The Decline Of Western Christianity: Gradually Then Suddenly