William M. Briggs

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part III (update)

Read Part I, Part II. The text has again been expanded and corrected. We have our model in hand. "Has the ability", our model, says (see Part II) that the…

Philosophy Statistics

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part II (update)

Read Part I: Again, the text (up to this part) has been corrected and expanded. Recall our overarching---our only---goal. We want to know whether the sweet old lady "has the…

Philosophy Statistics

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part I (updated)

Since the subject arose yesterday, and for other reasons which I'll explain later, I thought we should revisit this series, which ran a year ago. I have edited and expanded…

Statistics

Dawkins On The Double-Blind Experiment

The Edge every year asks top science celebrities a penetrating, yet fun, always fun, question. Last year's was "What scientific concept would improve everybody's cognitive toolkit?" One of the correspondent…

Philosophy Statistics

Statement Of Teaching Philosophy

Regular readers will know that I have been searching for (continuous) employment as a teacher. Most colleges and universities ask applicants to supply "a statement of teaching philosophy", while a…

Philosophy Statistics

The Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox Isn’t

Background A paradox is a mistake in thinking; an artificial, human creation which usually arises because a conclusion which follows from a set of beloved premises is itself unloved. Twitter…

Culture Fun Statistics

Oscar Predictions: Money, Men, & Maturity Make The Difference

Last year, my number two son1 and I created a model to predict the Oscar winning movie (the original post, and the follow up). We found the following characteristics most…

Fun Statistics

Scratch-off Lottery Tickets: Expected Payouts, A Hidden Benefit?

Update See the comments, but thanks to readers' arguments I believe I was wrong in an essential calculation. I've reworked the text to correct my error, which was small in…

Uncle Mike on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
Dear Joy, Goodness always wins in the end. Or the End. All powerful is not a speculation. Keep the faith.…
Paul Murphy on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
It is an odd truth that whenever libs do stupid stuff they turn out to be relying on the other…
Cary Cotterman on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
It's not just Mika and Rachel. Joy Reid has also been flipping her wig. May their ratings plummet into the…
Joy on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
Dear Uncle Mike, regarding the ICBM's, I'm thinking Russia will show restraint until January. If Putin is cornered, things will…
Uncle Mike on Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle MikeNovember 27, 2024
Great pic. Thank you, Brother.

William M. Briggs

Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

How To Read The Paper Claiming Semaglutide Reduces Cardiomyocyte Size and Cardiac Mass

Class 30: Hypothesis Testing Stinks I

Mark Twain On The Dictatorship Of Health

The Impossibilities Of Quantum Computing

What Science Can Say About Vaccines: And What It Can’t Say

Bad Predictions Mean Bad Models, Even If You’re A Distinguished Expert

Class 29: Nothing Has A Distribution

Women Let Him Win — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Trends In Wokeness & Girlbossery In Science

Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way?

Fixing College: Hit Them In The Money, Replace Their Prestige

Class 28: Randomization Redux (Randomization Does Nothing)

If We Are What We Sexually Desire, How About These Curious People?

What The Covid Panic Did To Science

We Win

See You On The Other Side

Class 27: Probability Is In Your Mind, Not Things

How Tim Walz Did Not Know Models Only Say What They’re Told To Say

Hell On Earth: 1978’s Zombie Apocalypse ‘Dawn Of The Dead’ Reviewed

The Decline Of Western Christianity: Gradually Then Suddenly

Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

How To Read The Paper Claiming Semaglutide Reduces Cardiomyocyte Size and Cardiac Mass

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part III (update)

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part II (update)

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part I (updated)

Dawkins On The Double-Blind Experiment

Statement Of Teaching Philosophy

The Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox Isn’t

Oscar Predictions: Money, Men, & Maturity Make The Difference

Scratch-off Lottery Tickets: Expected Payouts, A Hidden Benefit?

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification