Posted inStatistics
On That Fluoride-IQ Study & Statistical Silliness
I am in the Northwoods at the water's edge, far from the teeming masses, and I only had time to glance through this new study that claims that women who…
Posted inClass Statistics
The Doomsday Argument Is Doomed: Flawed Application Of Bayes
The WSJ on 27 June 2019 published an essay by William Poundstone on the hoary Doomsday Argument. Many are fooled by this equation, which contains a fundamental, even glaring, flaw.…
Posted inStatistics
Road Rage: Paper Says Living Near Road Causes Dementia
Dust is thrilling researchers these days. Dust, or the more scientific sounding PM2.5, is the next greatest struggle after global warming. We've already seen attempts to prove dust, as measured…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
A Failed Argument Against Free Will: Predicting Actions
It is always hilarious when people rail against free will, who are especially flummoxed that Common Man believes in free will, and say "If only people realized their choices weren't…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan
Review! You must at least review the first lessons---all class material is on one page for ease. I'll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I've said it…
Posted inStatistics
New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing
Here's a link to the PDF. Briggs, WM, HT Nguyen, D Trafimow, 2019. The Replacement for Hypothesis Testing. In Structural Changes and Their Econometric Modeling, Springer, V Kreinovich, S Sriboonchitta…
Posted inStatistics
That Paper About Hiring Chief Diversity Officers At Universities
The paper is "The Impact of Chief Diversity Officers on Diverse Faculty Hiring" by Steven W. Bradley, James R. Garven, Wilson W. Law, and James E. West. (Thanks to John…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part V New (Free) Software Multinomial Regression
Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.22! Only the example code…
