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Latest Articles
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
February 23, 2026
Class 79: Time Series Example
February 19, 2026
The Importance Of Not Making Decisions
February 18, 2026
Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously
February 17, 2026
AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
February 16, 2026
Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
February 12, 2026
Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
February 11, 2026
Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
February 10, 2026
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
February 9, 2026
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
February 2, 2026
Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

Posted by By Briggs March 10, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Posted by By Briggs March 9, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Homeopathic Blog Post

                   
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Posted inFun Philosophy

Richard Dawkins Is A Dangerous Man: Update

I'll tell you how. He makes people feel smarter than they are. And in our world of self-esteem substituting for accomplishment and ability, his villainous power is especially poisonous. For…
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Posted inStatistics

Climategate 3.0—Update: Hacker A Coder?

Whoever it was that snatched the cache of emails from prominent climatologists and created Climategate 1.0, then 2.0 has come forward, in a sort of way, to begin Climategate 3.0.…
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Posted inFun Statistics

How Long Do Popes Serve? Update

Update 14 March 2013. The Guardian has released the data on the popes. Its list and mine differ trivially, except that they were able to include the popes' ages (starting…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Paddy Power’s Pope Predictions—Update

Update See below for main update. The odds of Father Dougal Maguire (Craggy Island) being the next Pope are 1,000 to 1. You may say this is small, but it's…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Feds Spend $1.5 Million to Study Why Lesbians Are Fat?

The title was taken from the CNS News story of the same name, which made ripples in the news yesterday (Drudge linked to it). The National Institutes of Health (NIH)…
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Posted inStatistics

Doomed Planet: Changing Sun, Changing Climate

Today's post is at Quadrant. Have you been there before? If not, you have a treat in store. The editors supplied this quotation: "Today's debate about global warming is essentially…
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Posted inStatistics

How Effective Was This Year’s Flu Vaccine?

A reader asks, was this year's flu shot effective? Short answer: Looks to be, but there is no definitive way to know. In order to know definitively for any one…
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  1. Rudolph Harrier on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    I've started thinking of this as the "juice loosener problem" (after the Simpsons bit where Dr. Nick hawks an orange…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    After spending years in school doing my own writing, then decades in my profession busting my ass to write somewhere…

  3. Uncle Mike on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    AI isn't the entity smoothing the data. The alleged decline in Arctic sea ice was a key assertion in Algore's…

  4. JH on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 10, 2026

    The definition of cause can vary, and each incident may have its causes or contributing factors. I see coincidences as…

  5. JH on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    AI can be ‘gullible’ because it takes all the information fed into its optimization or backpropagation system. In many tasks,…

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