Search results for ‘probability’

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part X

Review! Last time we created four models of CGPA. Which is correct? They all are. Why? I should ask as a homework question, but I’ll remind us here. Since all probability is […]

All Of The Supposed Paradoxes About The Principle Of Indifference Are Bogus

Here is an example of a supposed paradox caused by using Keyne’s Principle of Indifference, which Stove and others (and myself) call the Statistical Syllogism (itself deduced from the symmetry of logical […]

FREE STATS CLASS

RELEVANT ARTICLES New Paper! Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Solving the Evidential Crisis (link) New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof (link) New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing (link) Randomization […]

Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners

Today’s post title is stolen from a paper by the same name “Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?” in Gender & Society, by […]

A Note On Mathematical Axioms (With Regard To Sizes Of Infinity)

This isn’t easy going, but there’s a story out, with a very good write up in Quanta, on mathematical axioms, as they apply to different sizes of infinity. Key paragraph: Their proof […]

How To Resolve All Probability Paradoxes: Apples In Sack Example

Via Alexander Bogomolny?: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight, and so […]

Random Means Unknown Cause — And Nothing More

I’ve used this gimmick many times, so regular readers, please, shhh. I’m thinking of a number between 1 and 4. What is it? To you the number is random, because you don’t […]

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part IX

Review! Last time we successfully computed our model (8):     (8) Pr(CGPA = i | guesses of new measures, grading rules, old obs, model), where i = 0,…,5. The model we selected […]