A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, “Doc, I saw that new ad. The […]
Rare Week Of Good News, And Some Bad — Coronavirus Update XCIV
JOY IN THE STREETS If not joy, then at least some broad grins. This is the first week, in the nearly 100 we have been tracking, in which we have seen some […]
A Review Of The Covid Panic: Starting With Taleb’s January 2020 Frenzy & Ending In Our New Concentration Camps
This is update CIX. Let’s summarize, shall we? My first post on the panic was 27 January 2020: “Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus“. Taleb almost at once became […]
Free Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part II
Review! We began our first predictive analysis, and spent a lot of time with it. But we still haven’t got to the main question! And that is how it should be. Since […]
Free Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part I
Regular readers know Uncertainty proposes we go back to the old way of examining and making conclusions about data, and eschew many innovations of the 20th Century. No p-values, no tests, no […]
CDC Flashes Its Wee P At Us In Thin Effort To Uphold The Cult of the Mask: Coronavirus Update LVI
EXPERTS FLASH THEIR WEE P Masks are the uniform of the effeminate. You’ll have heard by now of CDC’s latest mask study, in which grown experts flash their wee p-values at us […]
Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners
Today’s post title is stolen from a paper by the same name “Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?” in Gender & Society, by […]
New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!
Paper link. By moi. Abstract: There is no reason to use traditional hypothesis testing. If one’s goal is to assess past performance of a model, then a simple measure or performance with […]
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