God bless Pope Francis. But he is wrong about global warming, and even wronger about “special interests” trying to keep global warming going. The Holy Father knows a lot more than I […]
Trenberth Is Wrong About Global Warming: The PDO Is An Effect, Not A Cause
Kevin “Travesty” Trenberth had a peer-reviewed article in Science entitled, “Has there been a hiatus? Internal climate variability masks climate-warming trends.” First, the word “hiatus” is wrong. Using it assumes what it […]
Keeping It Simple: The Value Of An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model. New Paper
The rebuttal to the criticism of our original peer-reviewed climate model paper “Why models run hot” has been published in Science Bulletin. It is also peer-reviewed, and therefore it must be correct. […]
Why Global Warming Models Are Hot And Bothered
RT @NJSnowFan: @JWSpry @alamairs @ICLEI_AGENDA21 @BULMKT @mirandadevine @tan123 @havenaar64 @NoDirectAction pic.twitter.com/1P5UGyMkm5 — Patrick Moore (@EcoSenseNow) June 1, 2015 Everybody remembers what happened when Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates and I […]
What Evidence Would Persuade You That Man-Made Climate Change Is Real?
Somebody named Ronald Bailey (he isn’t anybody I know) at the inaptly named Reason asked the good question which heads this post. Second thought: the question is awful. No scientist I know […]
How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part II: Update
Read Part I Part II What we’re after is a score that calculates how close a prediction is to its eventual observation when the prediction is a probability. Now there are no […]
How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part III
Read Part I, Part II Part III This brings us to the second reason for measuring model goodness. Or rather an incorrect implementation of it. A lot of folks announce how well […]
How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part I
Part I of III All probability (which is to say, statistical) models have a predictive sense; indeed, they are only really useful in that sense. We don’t need models to tell us […]
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