Posted inStatistics
Bayesian Theorists Were Little Better Than Cranks
I stole today's title from David Papineau's essay "Thomas Bayes and the crisis in science", which many readers sent in. When I was in grad school bad in the early…
Posted inStatistics
The Unexpected Hanging Paradox
From reader Neil Taylor comes the request we examine the unexpected hanging paradox. I'm stealing from Wikipedia, which stole a version from Wolfram. A judge tells a condemned prisoner that…
Posted inStatistics
Fermi’s Paradox & Gaian Bottlenecks
Democracy (the system) is enough to account for the seeming alien life-form which is Hillary and for whatever that thing is on Trump's head. But as queer as Democracy is…
Posted inCulture
Would A Secret Society Lie? The Freemasons Part I– Guest Post by Ianto Watt
I was prodded once, by a friend, to explain the existence and meaning of FreeMasonry. And I replied, briefly, that Julius Felsenburgh had yet to make his appearance. Not that…
Posted inCulture
Candidate Zuckerberg Launches 2020 (2024?) Presidential Bid
Eschewing the spare, sloppy raiment that looked like it was fished out of dumpster behind a Goodwill that had gone out of business a long while back, billionaire Mark Zuckerberg…
Posted inCulture
The True Power Behind Russia & The Coming Church, Part I — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
I can sum up the problems of Russia, all throughout her long national history, in one word. Autocracy. But it will take a bit longer to explain it. But you…
Posted inStatistics
Probability Three Points On A Line & Measurement Paradoxes
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wVH4MS6v23U Reader Neil Taylor points us to the video above, which is a jumping point for the larger question (be sure to watch the video first): In [the video] Professor…
Posted inStatistics
Hypernumeracy
John Allen Paulos wrote of innumeracy, the mild malady of being unable to work with numbers. "I'm not primarily concerned with esoteric mathematics here, only with some feel for numbers…
