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William M. Briggs

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Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Proof!

Posted by By Briggs April 8, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Justice Ketanji Roars

Posted by By Briggs April 7, 2026
Continue Reading
Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof

Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer

"An Engineer" is a gentleman who has practiced Civil, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering for more than 40 years. He has been granted patents for a number of practical inventions, and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV

Read Part I, II, III. We are nearly at the point where we can say something about the candidate proposition of interest: "Treatment cures cancer of the albondigas." It is…
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Posted inStatistics

Confirmation Bias Happens To The Other Guy

Yet another entry in a long and endless series of experiments which show people often see what they want. Twist in this new one is that people who aren't too…
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Posted inStatistics

Use The Wrong P-value, Go To Jail: Not A Joke: Updated With Amicus Brief

Today's lesson: If the government wants you bad enough, it will get you. If that isn't already obvious, consider what befell W. Scott "Don't Call Me Baron" Harkonen. Just kidding…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…
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Posted inStatistics

The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery

This originally ran four years ago on 21 September 2009. One or two minor details have been changed to make the post current. Update: I see I screwed up the…
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Posted inStatistics

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…
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  1. Cloudbuster on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026

    One logical conclusion you could draw from this is that psychology isn't medicine and therapists and psychologists should not be…

  2. spetzer86 on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026

    Black people are reported as having a life expectancy of 75 years in the USA. That would give us another…

  3. C-Marie on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026

    Yikes!! Pray for her complete conversion to Our Lord Jesus Christ. God bless, C-Marie

  4. Johnno on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026

    The consensus of blacks should lynch her to protect their human dignity. "Lynching" being a medical term and community practice.…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026

    How Democrats can support this woman without embarrassment just proves that they're, well, Democrats.

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