William M. Briggs

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part III

Following Part II, here are some examples to show the differences between objectivist, subjectivist, and frequentist probabilities derived from fixed premises and set conclusions. Example 1 Not all probability is…

Culture

Government Creates More Speech Codes For Campuses: How To Fight Back

The Department of Education, like the IRS, is a beneficent and benevolent bureaucracy which only has our best interests at heart and which is in no way political, has decided…

Philosophy Statistics

A Common Fallacy In Global Warming Arguments

Our post today is provided by Terry Oldberg, M.S.E., M.S.E.E., P.E. Engineer-Scientist, Citizen of the U.S. That's a lot of letters, Terry! Oldberg joined our Spot the Fallacy Contest, which…

Book review Philosophy

Political Philosophy: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part IX

Remember, we're doing summaries of summaries here; only bare sketches are possible. Buy his book for more detail. Read Part VIII. Question IX is Political Philosophy. Stand back! Article 1:…

Culture Fun

Fashion Predictions: The Return Of The Waistcoat

You're talking to the guy who predicted the return of the pocket square and the re-emergence of the bow-tie. So listen to this: waistcoats---vests, that is---are on their way back.…

Culture Philosophy

Health Is Not A Goal

Regular readers will know these words from Mark Twain by heart: even so, they bear repeating: There are people who strictly deprive themselves of each and every eatable, drinkable and…

Philosophy Statistics

Celeste Greig Fired Over Rape Comments

A hoard of angry abortion supporters---one wonders if there are other kinds---succeeded in removing Celeste Greig from her post as president of the state's Republican Assembly. Greig's thought crime? In…

Statistics

Over-Optimism In Physician Prognoses

Poor Michael Boren lay dead at one of the ugliest places in New York City, the on-ramp to the Queensboro Bridge. Heart attack. He was only 51. He made it…

Briggs on Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help RequestedApril 25, 2025
Maypo Horses used to be "bated", i.e. fed. So I guess it means "breath which stinks of eating."
Maypo on Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help RequestedApril 24, 2025
I've never understood the concept of "bated breath", but count me as waiting eagerly.
bruce taylor on Class 47: Billions Of Models!April 24, 2025
There are both brain wave studies (Stanford 2024) and brain chemical studies that point to distinct differences between sexes. These…
Briggs on Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help RequestedApril 24, 2025
Maypo. Excellent question, and one we cover starting next week, if you don't mind waiting. Quick answer: it ain't easy.
Maypo on Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help RequestedApril 24, 2025
Hey Dr. Briggs, I think I generally follow your arguments and agree with them. What I am struggling with is,…

William M. Briggs

Class 47: Billions Of Models!

A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin Reviewed

Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested

Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness

The Educational Empire Strikes Back

Can Jinn & The Evil Eye Cause Disease?

Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active

Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification

New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look

A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence

Power Restored, Posts To Resume

No posts, class. No power, no internet

MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies

Class 44: What Causes Cancer Of The Albondigas?

How To Claim Your Specialty Suffers From “Climate Change”

Why Does Science Say Everything Will Kill You?

The Enormous Rotten Egg Of Government-Funded Science Has Turned Men Weak

Class 43: The Causal Path

The Limitations Of AI: General Or Real Intelligence Is Not Possible

Science Says Chocolate Will Kill You & Cure You: So Will Everything Else

Why Is The NYT Admitting the Covid Lab-Leak Theory Now?