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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
February 12, 2026
Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
February 11, 2026
Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
February 10, 2026
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
February 9, 2026
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
February 2, 2026
Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
January 28, 2026
Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
January 27, 2026
What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory
January 26, 2026
What A Winter
January 20, 2026
FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
January 19, 2026
Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
January 15, 2026
AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)
January 14, 2026
Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
January 13, 2026
Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
January 12, 2026
Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
January 8, 2026
The Consent Fallacy
January 7, 2026
On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
January 6, 2026
Register Your Predictions For 2026!
January 5, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Posted by By Briggs February 12, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Posted by By Briggs February 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inBook review Philosophy

To Coyne A Review: Did Jerry Coyne Really Read David Bentley Hart’s Book?

It took Jerry Coyne a while, but it appears---or rather, I should say there is weak and not overly convincing evidence---that the man has finally read David Bentley Hart's The…
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Posted inCulture

The Absurdity Of Reducing The Income Gap

Jim Fedako (who wrote this piece; send him email) is a business analyst and homeschooling father of seven who lives in Lewis Center, OH. Mr. George (rising): Madam Speaker, pardon…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Is God’s Existence Confirmed By Prophecy Via Probability?

I came across a curious book by Marvin Bittinger, a mathematics educator, called The Faith Equation: One Mathematician's Journey in Christianity. I'm a sucker for books like this, which seek…
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Posted inStatistics

On UFOs, Salt Intake, And Heart Disease

Michael "State of Fear" Crichton once proposed that UFOs were responsible for global warming. Why not? After all, something caused that record amount of snow in Detroit yesterday. Don't get…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Government Per Capita Spending: Up, Up, And Away! Or, Happy Tax Day!

Here it is, folks. Right from WhiteHouse.gov. The amount of Federal Government spending per capita from 1901 to the present and projected out to 2019. Population projections were taken from…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Hot Hand: Statistical Fluke Or Genuine Article?

I'll save you hunting through the text. It's a real thing. If you want to know why, read on. If not, you just tell 'em W.M. Briggs sez so, which…
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Posted inStatistics

Truth: Logic of Probability and Statistics

Here, as promised, is rough, incomplete, outline-only, not-yet-finished, gist-only version of Chapter 1, Truth, for the book tentatively titled The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (I'm also toying with The…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Somebody-Might-Get-Hurt! Fallacy

Word is our beneficent government, which loves us and would not see us fall into harm, is working on a design for a system of chains to anchor both citizens…
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  1. Christopher C Reed on Another Academic Says Climate Skeptics Criminals Against Humanity And Other Name CallingFebruary 12, 2026

    Congratulations on your promotion to Ringfueher, er...Ringleader! I suppose there may now be an opening for Henchman?

  2. Brian. (bulaoren) on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 11, 2026

    A lot of Americans have come to suspect that the "dumbing down" of the population is a real, and deliberate…

  3. Heresolong on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 11, 2026

    I can't but I don't understand most of the abbreviations. I look forward to your analysis.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender DelusionsFebruary 10, 2026

    addendum; As I think back, that was probably the 1976 Dem. primary.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender DelusionsFebruary 10, 2026

    While butting heads with Ted Kennedy, over the 1980 Democratic presidential primary, John Connally said something like; "At least I…

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