William M. Briggs

On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer

"An Engineer" is a gentleman who has practiced Civil, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering for more than 40 years. He has been granted patents for a number of practical inventions, and…

Philosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV

Read Part I, II, III. We are nearly at the point where we can say something about the candidate proposition of interest: "Treatment cures cancer of the albondigas." It is…

Statistics

Confirmation Bias Happens To The Other Guy

Yet another entry in a long and endless series of experiments which show people often see what they want. Twist in this new one is that people who aren't too…

Statistics

Use The Wrong P-value, Go To Jail: Not A Joke: Updated With Amicus Brief

Today's lesson: If the government wants you bad enough, it will get you. If that isn't already obvious, consider what befell W. Scott "Don't Call Me Baron" Harkonen. Just kidding…

Philosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…

Statistics

The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery

This originally ran four years ago on 21 September 2009. One or two minor details have been changed to make the post current. Update: I see I screwed up the…

Statistics

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…

Fun

On The Number 49

Forty-nine is the square of 7, or 7, 7 times over. Seven is a lucky number, so 49 must be 7 times luckier than 7. We begin on fortunate ground.…

Cary Cotterman on Putting The Stargate AI Hype Into Perspective (Stream)February 4, 2025
After reading Briggs, then the comments, I have come to the solid conclusion that we are either on the brink…
Paul Murphy on Putting The Stargate AI Hype Into Perspective (Stream)February 4, 2025
Wow! I hope someone else paid for the lunch you're out to here - multiple courses and pretty lavish! 1…
McChuck on Class 37: Simulations Aren’t What You ThinkFebruary 4, 2025
I'm thinking of three numbers. 38, 24, 36.
bruce g charlton on Putting The Stargate AI Hype Into Perspective (Stream)February 4, 2025
There is no point in trying to be reasonable and sensible and "balanced" about this kind of stuff. Current AI…
Valeriu on Putting The Stargate AI Hype Into Perspective (Stream)February 4, 2025
Well, this is what DeepSeek has to say about your text, if you're interested: The text presents a compelling, sardonic…

William M. Briggs

Putting The Stargate AI Hype Into Perspective (Stream)

Class 37: Simulations Aren’t What You Think

On The Limitations of AI: Predictions

Lady Lawyers Become — Gasp! — Science Deniers

Class 36: Paradox Lost

The Death Of DIE—In University Science

Vaccine Bullying Is Scientism

I Don’t Want Immigrants Is All The Reason I Need

Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes

More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t Enough

Surgeon General Demands Label War Against Wine

Class 34: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology III

England’s Rulers Insist Natives Must Assimilate To “Migrants”

Experts: Please Begin Panicking Over Bird Flu. Us: No. Experts: (Sob)

Environmental Experts To Rip Out Trees, Build Solar Electric Plant In Snow Belt To “Save The Environment”

Class 33: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology II

Register Your Predictions For 2025!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2024 Predictions?

Hot New The Science: Kids Are Having Climate Emotions

Merry Christmas!

Putting The Stargate AI Hype Into Perspective (Stream)

Class 37: Simulations Aren’t What You Think

On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV

Confirmation Bias Happens To The Other Guy

Use The Wrong P-value, Go To Jail: Not A Joke: Updated With Amicus Brief

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

On The Number 49

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification