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Our Base Metaphors & Analogies Used In Science Have Outlived Their Usefulness: Part I
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Our Base Metaphors & Analogies Used In Science Have Outlived Their Usefulness: Part I

Metaphors and analogies exhaust themselves. No matter how useful they are as guides to thought, pushed too far they can loosen our grip on Reality or lead to stagnation, and…
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Probability Doesn’t Exist: Nothing Has A Probability
Posted inStatistics

Probability Doesn’t Exist: Nothing Has A Probability

I hope you'll forgive this minor repetition, my friends. But since the world has not yet converted to the truth, shouted by de Finetti and handful of others, that probability…
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Dickman Cries “Rape!”: On The Bizarre New Rape-Pregnancy Paper
Posted inStatistics

Dickman Cries “Rape!”: On The Bizarre New Rape-Pregnancy Paper

You and I, dear reader, have looked at a lot of bad science over the years. Some science was bad because of the stank of woke, some because of fractured…
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The Role of Dusty-Ice-Sheet Albedo in Ice-Age Temperature Regulation — Guest Post by Jackie Edwards
Posted inStatistics

The Role of Dusty-Ice-Sheet Albedo in Ice-Age Temperature Regulation — Guest Post by Jackie Edwards

Yesterday we learned how poor climate models were because of their over-emphasis on man's influence. Today we have a guest post on one alternate cause. See what you think. The…
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Great News! The Climate Is Much Better Than Predicted. Now We Can Calm Down!
Posted inCulture Statistics

Great News! The Climate Is Much Better Than Predicted. Now We Can Calm Down!

I am, and you will be, too, absolutely delighted by a new paper by Roy Spencer: "Global Warming: Observations vs. Climate Models". This is a paper that will be celebrated…
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Combinatorial Explosion: Theory Is Worse Than You Thought
Posted inStatistics

Combinatorial Explosion: Theory Is Worse Than You Thought

A lot of kids have alphabet blocks. Twenty six wooden squares with the letters of the alphabet on them. One way to arrange them is just like in the song,…
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How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist

Lisping Rationalists When I read people like Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander it becomes clear to me how the French could have built a Temple of Reason during The Terror.…
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Questions On Statistical Practice Answered
Posted inStatistics

Questions On Statistical Practice Answered

Forgive me my friends, because of reasons I am terribly far behind on everything. Regular posting to resume soon. While back in a post, I was ranting about something like…
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  1. Briggs on What A WinterJanuary 21, 2026

    McChuck, That lieutenant must be at least a congressman by now.

  2. McChuck on What A WinterJanuary 21, 2026

    I remember the multiple blizzards of the 1970's. I had to be outside on guard patrol all night in -40…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    There's always something busting on a house or a car, and mean weather doesn't help. The joy of home and…

  4. shawn marshall on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    c'mon global warming!

  5. Chad W Jessup on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    Wish some of that snow would come west, as it looks like La NiƱa is not helping out here. Repairing…

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